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TechCheck

Tech Bubble Redux? 1/22/24

TechCheck

CNBC

Faang, Business, Technology, Investing, Management, Disruptors, Tech, Cnbc

4.566 Ratings

🗓️ 22 January 2024

⏱️ 14 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

One veteran Wall Street strategist is making a BULLISH comparison to 1999 – saying the market could be set for a tech-led party. Why there’s still room to run for some key valuation metrics if you’re making a direct contrast from to the bubble of the late 90s to today.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Tech stocks are shaking off their rocky start to the year, the NASDAQ 100 hitting a new all-time high,

0:06.1

once again, yes yet again, the comparisons to the tech boom of the late 90s.

0:12.4

It is Monday, January 22nd. Welcome to the Tech Check

0:15.0

podcast. I'm dear Dr Bosa with Mark Gilbert. Good morning Mark. Welcome

0:18.9

back. Hello, Dee, thank you very much. A note over the weekend caught our eye from a veteran Wall Street

0:24.9

strategist by the name of Ed Yardenny, who would be familiar to the C. M.C. audience writing that

0:31.4

potential Fed easing risks fueling a writing that

0:34.0

a rational exuberance,

0:35.0

irrational exuberance similar to the late 1990s.

0:40.0

He even asks in this note over the weekend,

0:42.0

is NVIDIA today's Cisco noting that it's

0:46.3

quote starting to remind us of the parabolic ascent of Cisco stock during the

0:51.5

tech bubble of the the 1990s. I know this always sort of comes up whenever there's any moment of

0:56.7

tech all-time highs, but what do you think about this comparison?

1:00.4

So irrational exuberance, I thought this has been like a phrase that's been in our lexicon forever, but it actually comes from somewhere from history.

1:08.0

And it was this phenomenon discussed by former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan in a very famous December 5th 1996

1:15.5

speech titled The Challenge of Central Banking in a Democratic Society but

1:19.9

basically this is what led to the irrational exuberance of the dot-com bubble and that is what

1:26.9

Ed Yredenny is making reference to and the idea that if you don't cut when you're supposed to

1:32.0

it can create a bubble in the stock markets that can lead to an

1:34.4

eventual crash. Gilbert, we've been talking about this for the last year or so, right? Because there's always these comparisons when

1:41.5

tech starts to go crazy and certainly AI-Mania has was these to 2022. We saw the whole sector go down a leg, raising comparisons. This isn't new, but the start

...

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