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The John Batchelor Show

TARIFFS: unknown to unwelcome. Fraser Howie, co-author of Red Capitalism: The Fragile Financial Foundation of China's Extraordinary Rise. @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill:

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

News, Books, Society & Culture, Arts

4.62.7K Ratings

🗓️ 28 November 2024

⏱️ 11 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

TARIFFS: unknown to unwelcome. 
Fraser Howie, co-author of Red Capitalism: The Fragile Financial Foundation of China's Extraordinary Rise. @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill:


https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/26/business/trump-tariffs-us-china-currency.html
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/26/trumps-tariff-threats-signal-start-of-a-wild-ride-in-currency-markets.html

1905 Shanghai

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is CBSI on the world.

0:06.1

I'm John Batchel with Gordon Chang at Gordon G. Chang, my colleague and co-host and friend,

0:10.4

New York Times.

0:11.9

After Trump's tariff threat is a China currency war next, subhead.

0:17.7

While China could offset American tariffs by letting its currency fall, that might endanger

0:23.5

Beijing's recent efforts to stabilize the economy. We're

0:28.0

very pleased with all these complicated words to be joined by

0:31.7

Fraser Howie, our good colleague, co-author of Red Capitalism,

0:35.3

the fragile financial foundation of China's extraordinary

0:39.5

rise. Fraser, a very good day to you. A currency war. What does that look like and what is the

0:47.6

benefit for either China or Europe? Good evening to you. Good evening, John. Well, to some extent, we've been, we've seen

0:56.7

this movie before, of course. We know that for much of the past 20 years, there's been a

1:04.2

vocal body of people saying that China's currency has been too weak, that they've kept it weak

1:08.2

to drive their export economy. And so that if they employ

1:12.5

that strategy again in the face to try and minimize tariffs or take the edge of the tariffs,

1:19.1

that's only going to encourage even greater tariffs or perhaps even harsher measures. At least with

1:24.3

a tariff, you pay it and you get your goods in. You could even, I could see envisage this scenario where there's just an outright ban of

1:32.3

certain Chinese goods.

1:33.8

So I don't think a currency war is really going to be the solution.

1:38.0

It's certainly not going to be a solution if you're talking about tariffs of 60% or more.

1:42.4

And I think it certainly could be more in the case of China.

1:45.5

You know, China may devalue its currency 5% or something like that, but they're not going

...

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