3.8 • 950 Ratings
🗓️ 6 July 2025
⏱️ 6 minutes
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0:00.0 | Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Brunch, our Sunday look ahead to this week's |
0:09.9 | market-moving events, along with the weekend's top news and analysis. |
0:14.3 | Hello, today is Sunday, July 6th, and I'm your host, Kim Kahn. |
0:17.8 | Wall Street's focus this week will be on trade developments as a 90-day pause on reciprocal |
0:22.0 | tariffs against U.S. trading partners is set to expire on Wednesday. |
0:26.2 | President Donald Trump has said he will not extend the pause and will start sending letters |
0:29.5 | to countries specifying the tariff rates that will have to pay. |
0:32.7 | UBS economists say, the average current tariff rate at 13% is unlikely to change by year-end. |
0:38.8 | Protectionism is still the name of the game for the U.S., although tariff rates will not |
0:42.3 | increase back to reciprocal levels as of April. |
0:45.4 | The 10% baseline tariff is here to stay, they say, and we still expect sector-specific tariffs |
0:50.4 | to rise in the third and fourth quarters as Section 232 and 301 investigations conclude, |
0:55.7 | though these tariff rates will vary by trading partner with either a reduced most favored nation |
1:00.3 | rate or quotas in place. The targeted sectors are likely to be copper, lumber, cranes, |
1:06.1 | critical minerals, pharma, semiconductors, shipbuilding, trucks, and aircraft. |
1:15.3 | UBS adds that tariffs on cars and car parts, aluminum, and steel, are already in place. |
1:19.4 | This means that the average U.S. tariff rate will remain around its current level, |
1:27.1 | for example, between 12% and 15%, with the EU still facing some 10% to 15% and China around 50% tariff rates, they say. On the earnings calendar, Delta Airlines, |
1:29.5 | Canagra Brands, and Levi Strauss are the highlights all report on Thursday. For Delta, |
1:34.2 | analysts expect the company to report EPS of 205 on revenue of $16.18 billion. The airline industry |
1:41.2 | has lately been under pressure from geopolitical uncertainties and customers increasing concerns over risks of a recession. |
1:47.4 | But analysts point out that Delta's premium services, such as the Sky Miles loyalty program, |
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