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The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2022 NFL Sports Betting Preview

The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

Adam Chernoff

Football, Sports

4.81.3K Ratings

🗓️ 30 August 2022

⏱️ 12 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Telegram Link: https://t.me/+ByNAj_cW_EdjZmIx 

Covers sports betting preview written by Jason Logan: https://www.covers.com/nfl/season-preview-for-every-team-2022-23 

Circa Millions Contest Details: Circa | Sports Million IV Pro Football Contest - Circa | Sports (circasports.com)


1. For a team priced as high as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are, there seems to be an awful lot of questions. What happened to Brady for 11 days during training camp? What will happen with Chris Godwin? Can the Buccaneers fill the hole of Gronkowski retiring? Will Todd Bowles be a flop - again - moving to the HC role? There are many missing pieces.

2. Perhaps no missing pieces are more important than the offensive line. Alex Kappa and Ali Marpet departed. Ryan Jensen got hurt at center. His backup got hurt the next week. Tristian Wirfs is banged up too. Nearly the entire OL unit will have turned over or has a new starter going into the opening of this season. 

3. If Brady is dealing with something we are uncertain about, the offensive line regresses and the weapons take a step back from a season ago, this is a team that is drastically over priced at 11.5 wins, even within the easy NFC. 

4. If there is one point of confidence it is the defense which is loaded up front, especially with the addition of Hicks. Running the ball on the Buccaneers will be tough again and the secondary will be above average. But to what level must this unit play again if the offensive production is reduced? 

Not sure how anyone can go over 11.5 with the Buccaneers or be looking to back them consistently in the 15 games they are favored in. 

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Good morning, everybody. Today is the afternoon of August 30th as a batch of podcast come out here on a Tuesday, mid-afternoon, a long weekend in Las Vegas, to put it lightly, had me in no shape to record a podcast when I got home Sunday evening. And I went to do it yesterday to catch up, and the brain just

0:21.9

wasn't there yet, to put it lightly. For those of you who watched, follow the money,

0:27.0

you got the full story of the Saturday evening, which was correlated with a flight that got

0:33.9

bumped back a couple of hours, which was ultimately delayed a couple of hours.

0:38.3

It was a messy Sunday altogether, especially with an hour drive home at the end of it to Western Alberta.

0:44.2

So an ugly couple of days recovering, but we are back at it here on a Tuesday afternoon looking at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

0:52.3

This is a very conflicting team for me to preview,

0:56.3

and I think it's going to be one that gets a lot of different betters over the course of the

1:00.9

season, especially coming into it until we really learn a lot more about what's going on.

1:05.8

We'll get to Tom Brady's lack of interest in just a second, but everything about this team really to me

1:13.1

starts up front, as well as with some of the question marks around this entire offense.

1:20.2

In the offseason, left guard, Ali Marpet retires. Right guard, Alex Kappa, signs with the

1:27.1

Cincinnati Bengals. Ryan Jensen left over at center he's now

1:32.6

hurt and out for a while as is Tristan Wharfs and we saw a situation where the backup for Jensen

1:39.4

at center Robert Hainsley is also hurt as well So there's now an entire middle of the offensive line

1:47.1

that is gone for the Buccaneers.

1:49.9

And it's a question mark on what it's going to look like

1:54.5

from a replacement perspective,

1:56.2

but also how Tom Brady is going to be able to handle this in the pocket.

2:01.3

Throughout his entire career, as is the case with many other quarterbacks in the league,

2:06.4

not just specific to Brady, but with his play, the one time where his numbers have dropped off

2:13.2

is when there's pressure up the middle.

...

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