Talk Your Book: Agricultural Commodities
Animal Spirits Podcast
The Compound
4.7 • 2.1K Ratings
🗓️ 15 July 2019
⏱️ 40 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Today's Animal Spirits Talk Your Book is brought to you by Toukrium. |
| 0:03.0 | Welcome to Animal Spirits, a show about markets, life, and investing. |
| 0:08.0 | Join Michael Batnick and Ben Carlson as they talk about what they're reading, writing, and watching. |
| 0:15.0 | Michael Batnik and Ben Carlson work for Rit Holt's wealth management. |
| 0:18.5 | All opinions expressed by Michael and Ben or any podcast guests are solely their own opinions and do not reflect the opinion of |
| 0:24.4 | Ritholz wealth management. |
| 0:25.9 | This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon for investment |
| 0:30.0 | decisions. |
| 0:31.0 | Clients of Ritholz wealth management may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this |
| 0:34.7 | podcast. |
| 0:35.7 | Ben and I sat down with Sal Gilberti to talk about agricultural commodities, a topic |
| 0:41.2 | that we have not yet discussed on the show. |
| 0:43.0 | And so we've done a little bit of work on commodities in general and the general takeaway that we've, I think both had is that. |
| 0:50.0 | You still holding those oil barrels in your backyard? |
| 0:52.0 | Nope, didn't take delivery. Bob, you still holding those oil barrels in your backyard? |
| 0:53.2 | Nope, didn't take delivery. |
| 0:54.7 | So if you look back at like the long-range future, |
| 0:58.0 | and so William Bernstein did a little look at this where he, in his book, |
| 1:01.0 | Skating to where the puck was, the correlation game in a flat world. |
| 1:04.8 | And there was a study done that showed between like 1972 and 1990 GSCI, which is the |
| 1:11.0 | Goldman Sachs Commodity Index, had better returns than the S&P with a little bit of higher standard deviation and they're totally uncorrelated. |
| 1:19.0 | And so the idea was, well, trading commodities futures has to be like the perfect bet because they have |
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