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Wall Street Breakfast

Tale of the tape for 2024

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, News, Business, Investing

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 1 January 2025

⏱️ 4 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The S&P rose 24% but limped to the finish line. (0:11) Investors see a tougher 2025 in store. (1:43) The most popular stories of 2024 (hint: quantum). (2:16)

Show Notes
S&P closes out the year with four sessions in the red

Episode transcripts: seekingalpha.com/wsb
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Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to a special New Year's edition of Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Breakfast.

0:08.9

It's January 1st, and I'm your host, Kim Kahn.

0:12.1

2024 on Wall Street is in the books.

0:14.4

On the last day of trading, stocks slimped to the finish line with the major averages closing in the red.

0:19.4

The NASDAQ composite fell 0.9%, the SMP 500 lost 0.4%,

0:24.2

and the Dow finished barely down. That made it four straight losing sessions for the S&P to close

0:29.3

out the year. Strategist Ryan Detrick, at Carson Group, notes that it's the longest year-end losing streak

0:35.4

since 1966, but stocks did gain 20% in 1967.

0:40.9

Now, for those keeping score at home, here's how the major asset classes performed last year.

0:45.3

In stocks, the SMP rose 24% to 5881, the NASDAQ composite gained nearly 31% to finish at 19,310, and the Dow Industrials underperformed,

0:57.0

finishing up nearly 13% to 42,544.

1:01.5

In the small cap arena, the Russell 2000 added 10% to 2,230.

1:07.2

In the bond market, the benchmark 10-year treasury yield added 71 basis points to end the year at 4.58%.

1:13.2

The Fed Fund's rate ended the year at a range of 4.5% to 4.5% following a 50 basis point cut in September and 2 quarter point cuts in November and December to close out the year.

1:23.8

WTI crude oil fell 1.3% to 7172 per barrel, while gold rallied 24.5% to $2,624 per ounce, and silver gained 21.5% to 2888 per ounce.

1:37.7

And Bitcoin jumped 111.5% moving into trading in the new year around $94,000.

1:43.7

We look next to what seeking off the subscribers are expecting for the coming year in stocks.

1:48.3

Based on the average from Wall Street Breakfast Sentiment Survey for 2025,

1:52.2

the S&P target for next year is 6,241, an upside of just 6%.

1:57.6

But the biggest cohort of respondents, 54%, see the benchmark index climbing the

2:02.9

6,500, which would result in an increase of 10.5% for the year. Stocks are also seen as the best

2:08.9

asset class, with four-fifths of subscribers putting most of their investing capital there,

...

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