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Big Picture Science

Tale of the Distribution

Big Picture Science

Big Picture Science

Science, Technology

4.51K Ratings

🗓️ 4 April 2016

⏱️ 54 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

We all have at least some musical talent. But very few of us can play the piano like Vladimir Horowitz. His talent was rarefied, and at the tail end of the bell curve of musical ability – that tiny sliver of the distribution where you find the true outliers. Outliers also exist with natural events: hurricane Katrina, for example, or the asteroid that wiped out the dinosaurs. Such events are rare, but they often have outsized effects. In this hour we imagine the unimaginable – including the unexpected events labeled “black swans” – and how we weigh the risk for any of them. Also, how a supervolcano explosion at Yellowstone National Park could obliterate the western U.S. but shouldn’t stop you from putting the park on your vacation itinerary. Guests: Donald Prothero – Paleontologist, geologist, author of many books, among them, Catastrophes!: Earthquakes, Tsunamis, Tornadoes, and Other Earth-Shattering Disasters Dawn Balmer – Ornithologist at the British Trust for Ornithology Jake Lowenstern – Geologist, USGS, Scientist-in-Charge of the Yellowstone Volcano Observatory Hank Heasler – Yellowstone National Park geologist Andrew Maynard – Director of the Risk Science Center at the University of Michigan First released October 19, 2014. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

You're listening to an Airwave Media Podcast.

0:05.0

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Until 18th of June 2024, 18 plus, T's and C's apply, exchange fees and fair usage limits supply.

0:33.8

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0:40.8

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to take your business to the next level today.

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That's Shopify. co. UK slash sell 23. If you might

1:37.0

see a bunch of swans swimming in a pond, you might admire the scene, but otherwise not think much of it. But if one of the swans were

1:44.3

black well you'd stop and stare. A black swan after all is a phenomenally rare

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