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Thunder & Lightning

T&L Extra: ESPN's Bill Connelly Goes Inside His Numbers

Thunder & Lightning

SuperTalk Mississippi Media

Sports, News, Sports News

4.81.2K Ratings

🗓️ 11 July 2023

⏱️ 10 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Analytics continue to drive discussion and become a bigger part of the fan experience in college football. Brian Hadad welcomes one of the godfathers of the numbers movement, ESPN's Bill Connelly, to explain his SP+ formula and how it feels about Mississippi State in 2023. Brian Hadad of SportsTalk Mississippi and Robbie Faulk of 24/7 give you the best insight into Mississippi State athletics. We cover the Bulldogs like no one else. This show is a production of SuperTalk Mississippi Media. Learn more at SuperTalk.FM Brought to you by... Strange Brew Coffeehouse - https://strangebrewcoffeehouse.myshopify.com/ College Corner - https://collegecornerstore.com/ Restaurant Tyler - https://www.eatlocalstarkville.com/restaurant-tyler Mississippi Beef Council - https://www.msbeef.org/ Two Brothers - https://www.twobrotherssmokedmeats.com/ Advantage Business Systems - https://www.absms.com/ The Rogue - https://www.therogue.com/ PriorityOne Bank - https://priorityonebank.com/ Dolce Gelato Treats - https://www.facebook.com/dolcestarkville/

Transcript

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0:00.0

A Super Talk Mississippi Media Production.

0:04.0

So joining me now on the podcast, a guy whose workout I have admired for a long time.

0:08.5

Bill Connolly from E-SPN, the creator of the S&P Plus Formula. He also used to host a podcast with a guy that nobody

0:15.6

likes Stephen Godfrey, called Podcasting, played nobody, especially me, Bill. I don't like

0:20.0

Stephen Godfrey. He hates my team. Well, I mean, who does like Stephen Godfrey, really?

0:25.0

It's a tough question.

0:27.0

I'm not looking forward to seeing him in Nashville next week at SEC Media Days.

0:32.0

He's just a terrible guy to have a good time with.

0:35.0

The worst.

0:36.0

So let's just sort of jump into S&P Plus,

0:38.0

because I know a lot of our listeners probably aren't super familiar with it

0:41.0

and the ones that are, maybe like me me like I see it and I have the basic

0:44.9

understanding of it but I would appreciate the master's detail so like I'm five years old

0:50.8

please what is S&P plus? Well we had to ditch the 8% a while back but yeah

0:56.9

SP Plus is a I mean the idea here is it's a measure of what's actually sustainable and predictive in football.

1:05.7

There's a lot of randomness in football.

1:07.3

We don't have much of a sample size to work with, but it's an idea of, you know,

1:11.2

it's adjust for a tempo, let's adjust for opponent, and let's actually look at what you can actually maintain and do again from week to week to week.

1:19.0

And a lot of that's based on efficiency on my, you know, success rate measure that I talk about in some of the stuff I write.

1:27.0

But that, yeah, at its heart, it's intended to be a good forward facing, not a resume rating, not a you beat team B, therefore you're ahead of

1:36.7

team B kind of deal, but a forward facing a power rating, a predictive thing that you can use week to week.

1:41.6

One thing that I've noticed with analytics through the years is that nobody wants to be happy with them.

...

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