T&L Extra: ESPN's Bill Connelly Goes Inside His Numbers
Thunder & Lightning
SuperTalk Mississippi Media
4.8 • 1.2K Ratings
🗓️ 11 July 2023
⏱️ 10 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | A Super Talk Mississippi Media Production. |
| 0:04.0 | So joining me now on the podcast, a guy whose workout I have admired for a long time. |
| 0:08.5 | Bill Connolly from E-SPN, the creator of the S&P Plus Formula. He also used to host a podcast with a guy that nobody |
| 0:15.6 | likes Stephen Godfrey, called Podcasting, played nobody, especially me, Bill. I don't like |
| 0:20.0 | Stephen Godfrey. He hates my team. Well, I mean, who does like Stephen Godfrey, really? |
| 0:25.0 | It's a tough question. |
| 0:27.0 | I'm not looking forward to seeing him in Nashville next week at SEC Media Days. |
| 0:32.0 | He's just a terrible guy to have a good time with. |
| 0:35.0 | The worst. |
| 0:36.0 | So let's just sort of jump into S&P Plus, |
| 0:38.0 | because I know a lot of our listeners probably aren't super familiar with it |
| 0:41.0 | and the ones that are, maybe like me me like I see it and I have the basic |
| 0:44.9 | understanding of it but I would appreciate the master's detail so like I'm five years old |
| 0:50.8 | please what is S&P plus? Well we had to ditch the 8% a while back but yeah |
| 0:56.9 | SP Plus is a I mean the idea here is it's a measure of what's actually sustainable and predictive in football. |
| 1:05.7 | There's a lot of randomness in football. |
| 1:07.3 | We don't have much of a sample size to work with, but it's an idea of, you know, |
| 1:11.2 | it's adjust for a tempo, let's adjust for opponent, and let's actually look at what you can actually maintain and do again from week to week to week. |
| 1:19.0 | And a lot of that's based on efficiency on my, you know, success rate measure that I talk about in some of the stuff I write. |
| 1:27.0 | But that, yeah, at its heart, it's intended to be a good forward facing, not a resume rating, not a you beat team B, therefore you're ahead of |
| 1:36.7 | team B kind of deal, but a forward facing a power rating, a predictive thing that you can use week to week. |
| 1:41.6 | One thing that I've noticed with analytics through the years is that nobody wants to be happy with them. |
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