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Wall Street Breakfast

T-bills, gold and macro volatility

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, News, Business, Investing

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 27 April 2024

⏱️ 7 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Amrita Roy and Rob Isbitts are both bullish on gold and T-bills (0:25). Inflationary and deflationary tug of war, macro volatility and central banks piling into gold (1:25). Why liquidity is the glue that drives everything forward (5:00). This is an abridged conversation from Seeking Alpha's Investing Experts podcast.

Episode transcripts: seekingalpha.com/wsb

Show links:
Upside/Downside Tug Of War
Here Comes The Stagflation Debate
10-year yield tops 4.5% after strong CPI report

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Transcript

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0:00.0

I'm Rita Roy. You write about two of the most popular investing topics of our time, I think.

0:17.0

Macromarket analysis and tech stocks. Your bottom line right now is your bullish on T bills. Hey, me too, and gold.

0:26.3

And, although when it comes to gold, I have to say,

0:29.2

it's been a necessary evil for me over the year, so I'm really interested in hearing what you say about that but

0:35.0

what is top of mind for you right now?

0:37.0

Sure. Today I think I'll focus most of my conversation on more of the

0:40.3

defenses in my portfolio which one of them you mentioned is

0:43.2

D-Bills, given its risk-free rate of 5.25% makes perfect sense from a cash

0:48.0

allocation standpoint which earns risk-free interest. And the second thing is

0:52.3

gold.

0:53.7

Like you said, it's a necessary evil,

0:55.8

but we are at a very interesting macro-volatility

0:58.6

environment right now where there's really

1:00.6

a tug-off war between inflationary and deflationary forces.

1:04.8

And my book is with gold over the long term, essentially,

1:08.0

is that gold has sniffed out the dynamic that the Fed's 2% inflation rate may not be that achievable under the kind of

1:15.9

macroeconomic indicators that we are currently getting.

1:18.9

You are a macro strategist, you and I share that.

1:22.1

Tell us what is in the hopper for you right now.

1:25.0

Sure.

1:26.0

So, like I said before, we are living in very interesting times

1:30.0

when it comes to the overall macroeconomic environment.

...

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