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FT News Briefing

Swamp Notes: Can you trust the polls?

FT News Briefing

Forhecz Topher

News, Daily News, News & Politics

4.41.3K Ratings

🗓️ 25 May 2024

⏱️ 15 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

American voters still say the economy is their most important electoral issue, and a growing number are less than pleased with Joe Biden’s economic management. The FT’s deputy Washington bureau chief, Lauren Fedor, and the vice-president of North Star Opinion Research, Jon McHenry, join this week’s Swamp Notes to break down the results of the most recent FT-Michigan Ross poll. 


Mentioned in this podcast:

Support for Joe Biden’s economic policies wanes amid inflation fears, FT poll finds

FT-Michigan Ross poll: Biden’s election hopes fall as prices rise again

Sign up for the FT’s Swamp Notes newsletter here


Swamp Notes is produced by Ethan Plotkin, Sonja Hutson, Lauren Fedor and Marc Filippino. Topher Forhecz is the FT’s executive producer. The FT’s global head of audio is Cheryl Brumley. Special thanks to Pierre Nicholson. Original music by Hannis Brown. 


CLIPS: @atrupar on X


Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com


Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Transcript

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0:00.0

The UK's energy partner.

0:06.2

Learn more at equinore.

0:07.2

at equinore dot-co. UK.

0:09.7

Pols look pretty different depending on which side of them you're on.

0:16.0

When you're losing...

0:18.0

And usually I'll say polls, nah, they're for strippers and cross-country skiers.

0:23.2

But when you're winning...

0:25.2

I believe in polls, only the ones that have us up because they're the only honors.

0:28.8

This is

0:40.6

is Swamp Notes, the weekly podcast from the FT News briefing where we talk about all of the things happening in the 2024 U.S. election. I'm Mark Filipino and this week we're asking what are polls good for

0:44.7

anyway? Here with me to discuss is Lauren Fiedor. She's the F.T.'s deputy

0:48.7

Washington Bureau chief. Hi Lauren. Hi Mark. And we've also got John McHenry.

0:53.4

He's the Vice President of North Star Opinion Research.

0:56.4

That's a Republican polling group which helps conduct the FT's monthly opinion polls on U.S. politics.

1:01.8

Hey John. Hey Mark.

1:04.0

So John, the F.T. released a poll last week on a range of U.S. political and economic

1:08.8

issues.

1:09.8

What's the big headline from that poll regarding the presidential race?

1:14.4

I think the biggest headline coming out of this was that while we over the last couple of months

1:19.8

had seen a little bit of improvement in how people viewed President Biden's handling of the economy.

1:25.6

Going from 29% approved to 31% to 32%, he dropped back down to 28%, which is the lowest we've had since last November.

1:35.6

And while he had a good boost from the State of the Union address and things seem to be

...

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