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Afford Anything | Make Smart Money Choices

Suze Orman Says $2 Million is Nothing; You Need $10 Million to Retire Early. Internet Explodes

Afford Anything | Make Smart Money Choices

Paula Pant | Cumulus Podcast Network

Entrepreneurship, Investing, Business

4.73.6K Ratings

🗓️ 5 October 2018

⏱️ 61 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

#154: Want to retire early? You'll need at least $5 million, more likely $10 million, says famous financial personality Suze Orman. I should know. She said that to me, directly, on my podcast. I asked Suze for her opinion about a frugal, flexible person who wants to retire early with a $2 million portfolio. She warned that retiring would be a massive mistake. "Two million dollars is nothing," Suze said. "It's nothing. It's pennies in today's world, to tell you the truth." Wait, what? "Listen," she said. "If you have $20 [million], $40 [million], $50 [million] or $100 million dollars, be like me, okay. If you have that kind of money ... and you want to retire, fine." "But if you only have a few hundred thousand dollars, or a million, or $2 million, I'm here to tell you ... if a catastrophe happens ... what are you going to do? You are going to burn up alive." But what's wrong with retiring early on $2 million? Assuming it's invested 50/50 in equities and bonds and harvested at a 4 percent withdrawal rate, a portfolio of $2 million could create annual investment income of $80,000. Surely that's enough, right? *Riiiight?* Nope. Suze says that's not enough. "I think that in the long run, $80,000, especially after taxes and as you get older, is not going to be enough. You may think it's going to be enough, but it's just not," she told me on the Afford Anything podcast. "You can do it if you want to. I personally think it is the biggest mistake, financially speaking, you will ever, ever make in your lifetime." I asked her if a $3 million portfolio at a more conservative 3 percent withdrawal rate would be okay for an early retirement. She said no. "Think about it logically," she said. Supporting a disabled family member who needs full-time care could cost $250,000 per year, she said. Ordinary cost-of-living would cost another $100,000 per year. This means you'll need $350,000 per year after taxes to cover your costs, which is $500,000 per year before taxes, which at a 5 percent withdrawal rate means that you'd need a portfolio of $10 million. If you don't have at least $5 million or $10 million, don't retire early, Suze said. "Here's what the FIRE people, you are not thinking about, so I'm going to give it to you straight here now," she said. She described the possibility of getting sideswiped by massive taxes and catastrophic emergencies. What if your home gets destroyed by an earthquake or flood and insurance denies your claim? What if you're in a tragic car accident and you need full-time care? What if the U.S. experiences 25 percent unemployment, which means you won't be able to find another job if you wanted one? What if your investment income gets consumed by massive future tax hikes? "When you get older things happen," Suze said. "You're hit by a car, you fall down on the ice, you get sick, you get cancer. Things happen." "Alright, you can do it if you want to," she said. "I'm just telling you, you will get burned if you play with fire." For more, visit the show notes at http://affordanything.com/episode154 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

You can afford anything but not everything.

0:10.8

Every decision that you make is a trade-off against something else and that doesn't just

0:13.8

apply to your money, it applies to your time, your focus, your energy, your attention,

0:18.3

anything in your life that's a scarce or limited resource.

0:21.4

And so the questions become twofold.

0:24.2

Number one, what matters most?

0:25.5

Number two, how do you align your daily decisions to reflect those priorities?

0:30.4

By the way, I'm just going to say, if you choose to spend money in one way, that means

0:36.0

you are choosing not to spend time in a different way.

0:40.6

You've heard the expression time is money, right?

0:42.6

So you can trade time for money or you can trade money for time.

0:46.4

And that is an underlying premise behind the concept of financial independence, which

0:51.4

we're going to dive into in today's episode because there was an interesting precursor episode

0:57.2

to this one.

0:58.4

My name is Paula Pant.

0:59.4

I'm the host of the Afford Anything Podcast.

1:01.2

And if you haven't listened to the episode that came out a few days ago, I encourage that

1:06.6

you actually stop listening to this one and go back and listen to that one instead because

1:10.6

that episode is the preamble for everything you're about to hear.

1:14.2

Now a few days ago in episode 153, I interviewed personal finance guru Suzy Orman.

1:20.5

Suzy is one of the most famous names in the world of personal finance.

1:24.2

From 2002 until 2015, she hosted the Suzy Orman show on CNBC.

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