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🗓️ 27 September 2021
⏱️ 10 minutes
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0:00.0 | During World War II, the US Army assigned statistician Abraham Wald to the task of statistically figuring out where extra armor should be added to American bombers. |
0:09.0 | After analyzing the evidence and sharing it with the army he recommended the exact opposite |
0:14.5 | of what the army assumed the reason was that the army had engaged in a logical |
0:18.8 | fallacy learn more about survivorship bias and how it manifests itself into everyday thinking |
0:24.0 | on this episode of Everything Everywhere Daily. This episode is sponsored by Scotty Vest. |
0:38.0 | This episode is sponsored by Scotty Vest. |
0:40.0 | Autumn is here, and that means cooler weather and jackets. If you're looking for a |
0:44.9 | jacket this season I highly recommend checking out Scotty Vest. They have pockets to |
0:49.6 | hold all of the gear that you carry with you. I'll often go to a cafe to write and work and I can |
0:55.2 | take everything I need in the pockets of my Scotty vest jackets. It can easily hold my |
0:59.6 | MacBook Air, charging cables, an iPhone, and my air pods in its pockets. |
1:04.5 | And no one is any the wiser that I have anything on me. |
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1:26.1 | coupon code everything everywhere. |
1:30.3 | Let's start this discussion with the definition of survivor bias. The simple |
1:35.6 | definition is that it's considered a logical fallacy or statistical error or a |
1:39.4 | cognitive shortcut where you don't look at an entire population when making an inference because some part of the population didn't meet certain criteria. |
1:48.0 | The classic example which illustrates the point is the example that I mentioned in the introduction. In World War II, the Army Air Corps the |
1:55.0 | point is the example that I mentioned in the introduction. |
1:53.0 | In World War II, the Army Air Corps wanted to provide additional armor to their bombers that were flying missions over Germany. |
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