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The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

“Strong” Jobs Report More Politics Than Economics – Ep. 185

The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

Peter Schiff

Business, Politics, News, Investing, Business News

4.65.9K Ratings

🗓️ 6 August 2016

⏱️ 38 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary


* What a difference a week makes, or maybe and economic report
* The two big reports that everybody seems to focus on are the GDP numbers and the jobs numbers
* It seems that the weaker the economy is, as measured by GDP, the more jobs, somehow, the economy seems to create
* We got the jobs report for July and just a week earlier we got Q2 GDP
* As I spoke about on the last podcast, that number was basically half of what Wall Street had been anticipating - less than half
* They were looking for 2.4 or 2.6 and we got 1.2
* Even worse, we went back and revised down the prior 2 quarters to below 1%
* That very weak number caused people to talk about the fact that the Fed can't raise rates, the economy is weaker than we thought, are we slipping back into recession?...
* Now fast forward a week, and we get a Non-Farm Payroll report that is higher than anticipated and now all of a sudden people are starting to talk about September rate hikes again
* Obviously, withe the stock market on Friday rising to a new record high, I doubt the equity traders actually believe that Friday's jobs report is going to produce a rate hike
* Yet it doesn't stop all the financial journalists writing about how this confirms that the recovery is on track, and the Fed can raise rates
* This jobs report doesn't confirm anything
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Transcript

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0:00.0

What a difference a week makes or maybe an economic report, you know, the two big reports

0:14.8

that everybody seems to focus on are the GDP numbers and the jobs numbers.

0:21.5

And you know, it seems that the weaker the economy is as measured by GDP, the more jobs

0:28.1

somehow the economy seems to create.

0:30.8

We got the jobs report for July on Friday.

0:35.6

And just a week earlier, we got the GDP for the second quarter.

0:41.4

And as I spoke about on the last podcast, that number was basically half of what Wall Street

0:48.1

had been anticipating less than half.

0:50.5

They were looking for, I think, what, two, four, two, six.

0:53.2

And we got one, two, but even worse, we went back and revised down the prior two quarters

0:59.4

to below 1%.

1:01.4

So that very weak number got people talking about, oh, the Fed can't raise rates.

1:07.4

The economy is weaker than we thought.

1:09.2

Are we slipping back into recession?

1:11.6

And now fast forward to a week and we get an on farm payroll report that is higher

1:17.6

than anticipated.

1:18.8

And now all of a sudden, people will start talking about September rate hikes again, which

1:22.5

is so ridiculous.

1:23.8

Although obviously with the stock market on Friday rising to a new record high, I doubt

1:30.2

the equity traders actually believe that Friday's jobs report is going to produce a rate

1:36.4

hike.

1:37.4

Yet it doesn't stop all the financial journalists writing about how this confirms that the

...

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