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RiskReversal Pod

Stock Market No Good Under the Hood with Dan Niles | Okay, Computer.

RiskReversal Pod

RiskReversal Media

News, Investing, Business, Business News

4.6757 Ratings

🗓️ 18 October 2023

⏱️ 52 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On the latest episode of Okay, Computer. Dan Niles, Founder and Portfolio Manager of the Satori Fund, joins Dan Nathan for a conversation about covering his shorts and calling for a year-end rally (2:50), Amazon (8:40), Walmart (12:20), what should happen in the markets vs. what’s happening (15:50), why the market looks terrible under the hood (19:20), what could be unwound in 2024 (23:20), what would cause another financial crisis (29:20), Nvidia (35:00), Apple (41:15), Tesla (46:20) and how Dan Niles is looking to make money into year-end.  Read: Tesla whistleblowers filed a complaint to the SEC in 2021, but the agency never interviewed them. Here’s what the complaint said View our show notes here Learn more about Ro body: ro.co/okay Email us at [email protected] with any feedback, suggestions, or questions for us to answer on the pod and follow us @OkayComputerPod. We’re on social: Follow @dee_bosa on Twitter Follow @GuyAdami on Twitter Follow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMedia Subscribe to our YouTube page

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to OK Computer. I am Dan Nathan. I am joined with one of my favorite return guests. That would be Dan

0:06.9

Niles. He's the founder and portfolio manager at Sotori Fund. Dan, welcome back to the pod.

0:12.2

Thank you for having me back on, Dan. You are a listener favorite, just so you know. We spent a lot of time on

0:17.9

private markets. We talk a lot of thematic sort of things in and around tech. And for me, I think my kind of fast money hat, you and I met, I think,

0:25.0

a couple decades ago. I was a fast money trader on the street at the time. I love talking

0:30.3

markets. I love talking about what might happen next. But I also like talking big picture

0:34.5

with folks like you, you've been covering tech since the 90s and you have a

0:38.0

tremendous perspective, but you also have a very interesting macro perspective. And now you don't just

0:43.2

trade tech or just invest in tech. And we're going to talk a little bit about these GLP ones.

0:47.7

This is an area that is near and dear to my heart. I find it interesting that we found those

0:52.3

in your notes. So we're going to get to some

0:54.3

single stocks. We're going to get to some tech stuff. But I really want to start with the macro because I

0:58.7

saw a tweet and I didn't see it on Twitter because I'm no longer on Twitter, but one of our team members

1:02.6

forwarded it to me. You have this amazing transparency. You put it out that you had been bearish and you had many single stock shorts on, but you had been covering them. I think

1:11.3

this was on October 4th or so. And despite having a sort of bearish intermediate to long-term view,

1:18.0

you just thought things got a bit oversold, I'm assuming, and as we're getting into Q2

1:22.5

earnings season. So give me a sense of where you are, what were some of the shorts that you had

1:26.3

taken off, and how are you thinking about the environment right now?

1:30.2

Because we have a yield, and we gotta talk about yields too,

1:32.9

because if you just look at where we are right now

1:35.7

with the two year, the 10 year,

1:37.7

with where Fed funds are likely to go between now and the year end,

...

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