Stock bulls cheer as CPI drops to 3 percent
Wall Street Breakfast
Seeking Alpha
4.1 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 12 July 2023
⏱️ 6 minutes
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Summary
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Lunch, our afternoon update on today's market action news and analysis. |
| 0:09.0 | Good afternoon. Today is Wednesday, July 12th, and I'm your host, Kim Kahn. |
| 0:13.8 | Our top story so far in today's session. |
| 0:16.3 | Sometimes the market gets what the market wants, |
| 0:18.6 | and what it expects. |
| 0:20.4 | Fed doves and equity bulls are cheering a June- CPI that showed inflation coming down more than anticipated, putting a |
| 0:26.0 | second rate hike this year in serious doubt. By the numbers, headline |
| 0:30.1 | CPI rose 0.2%, with the annual rate coming down to 3 percent. More closely watched by the |
| 0:35.9 | market's core C. P. I, which excludes food and energy, also rose 0.2 percent. That was the smallest |
| 0:42.0 | monthly rise since August 2021. The annual rate dropped below 5% to 4.8%. |
| 0:48.0 | Pantheon Macro simply says core inflation is falling fast with more to come. The market reaction was swift, |
| 0:55.3 | stocking the futures rallied and bond yields sank. Fed swaps immediately priced in a lower |
| 1:00.3 | chance that the Fed would hike again after it raises rates in the July meeting. |
| 1:04.8 | Right now the NASDAQ is up about 1 and a third percent, leading the SMP 500 in Dow, which are also |
| 1:09.7 | rallying. |
| 1:11.7 | The two-year Treasury yield, most closely tied to the Fed's fund rate, is near 4.7%. |
| 1:16.8 | The 10-year yield is around 3.9%. |
| 1:19.6 | Last week, the two-year had topped 5% with the 10-year above 4%. Shelter accounted for 70% of June's rise, but |
| 1:26.3 | strategist Charlie Bolello noted that after 25 consecutive increases, year-on-year |
| 1:31.2 | shelter's CPI has moved down for three straight months, from 8.2% in March, the highest |
| 1:36.8 | level since 1982, to 7.8% in June. |
| 1:40.9 | S.A. Investing Group leader leader Lawrence Fuller says |
... |
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