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Wall Street Breakfast

Stock bulls cheer as CPI drops to 3 percent

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, Investing, Business, News

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 12 July 2023

⏱️ 6 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Lunch, our afternoon update on today's market action news and analysis.

0:09.0

Good afternoon. Today is Wednesday, July 12th, and I'm your host, Kim Kahn.

0:13.8

Our top story so far in today's session.

0:16.3

Sometimes the market gets what the market wants,

0:18.6

and what it expects.

0:20.4

Fed doves and equity bulls are cheering a June- CPI that showed inflation coming down more than anticipated, putting a

0:26.0

second rate hike this year in serious doubt. By the numbers, headline

0:30.1

CPI rose 0.2%, with the annual rate coming down to 3 percent. More closely watched by the

0:35.9

market's core C. P. I, which excludes food and energy, also rose 0.2 percent. That was the smallest

0:42.0

monthly rise since August 2021. The annual rate dropped below 5% to 4.8%.

0:48.0

Pantheon Macro simply says core inflation is falling fast with more to come. The market reaction was swift,

0:55.3

stocking the futures rallied and bond yields sank. Fed swaps immediately priced in a lower

1:00.3

chance that the Fed would hike again after it raises rates in the July meeting.

1:04.8

Right now the NASDAQ is up about 1 and a third percent, leading the SMP 500 in Dow, which are also

1:09.7

rallying.

1:11.7

The two-year Treasury yield, most closely tied to the Fed's fund rate, is near 4.7%.

1:16.8

The 10-year yield is around 3.9%.

1:19.6

Last week, the two-year had topped 5% with the 10-year above 4%. Shelter accounted for 70% of June's rise, but

1:26.3

strategist Charlie Bolello noted that after 25 consecutive increases, year-on-year

1:31.2

shelter's CPI has moved down for three straight months, from 8.2% in March, the highest

1:36.8

level since 1982, to 7.8% in June.

1:40.9

S.A. Investing Group leader leader Lawrence Fuller says

...

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