Sticky inflation will give the Fed pause
Wall Street Breakfast
Seeking Alpha
4.1 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 10 April 2024
⏱️ 6 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
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Show Notes
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Lunch. Our afternoon update on today's market action news and analysis. |
| 0:10.0 | Good afternoon. Today is Wednesday April 10th and I'm your host Kim Khan. Our top story so far. |
| 0:16.1 | So much for the summer of rate cuts. Consumer inflation continued to show stickiness to use the |
| 0:21.2 | market buzzword du jour, giving the Fed more reason after the strong employment |
| 0:25.2 | report to keep rates elevated. |
| 0:27.3 | The March Consumer Price Index rose 0.4%, topping the 0.3% rise economists expected. The annual rate rose to 3.5%. The core |
| 0:36.9 | C. P. I, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.4% as well, also ahead of |
| 0:41.4 | forecasts with the annual rate staying at 3.8%. |
| 0:45.2 | Shelter and gasoline both increased in March, contributing more than half of the monthly |
| 0:49.2 | increase in the all items index. |
| 0:51.5 | Odds for rate cuts at this year's Fed meanings tumbled after the print. |
| 0:55.0 | June had been 50-50 ahead of the numbers, but now the chance of a quarter-point cut is around 20%. |
| 1:00.0 | The July odds are just below 50% while September fell 15 basis points to around 75%. |
| 1:07.0 | Overall, 48 basis points of cuts are now priced in for 2024. |
| 1:11.0 | That's fewer than two cuts this year. |
| 1:13.0 | Tom Graf, Chief Investment Officer at Fasset, says, |
| 1:16.0 | I've been on team summer rate cut |
| 1:18.0 | that this is going to make a cut by July |
| 1:20.0 | quite difficult, in my opinion. |
| 1:22.0 | But Raymond James, Chief Economist Eugenio |
| 1:24.2 | Alaman says the core PCCE price index, which are the Fed favors over |
| 1:27.9 | CPI for its inflation benchmark, will likely come in lower than the CPI, as shelter costs represent a larger weight than the |
... |
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