4.8 • 784 Ratings
🗓️ 25 July 2023
⏱️ 15 minutes
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0:00.0 | There are moments in failing presidential campaigns when statements of the obvious become lifelines for survival. |
0:14.1 | The thinking is if the campaign concedes what every other person around it knows to be true, |
0:20.3 | that somehow that credibility will give it a |
0:23.7 | fresh shot, or in the case of Ronda Sannis, a new shot at life. The Ronda Sannis campaign is |
0:31.4 | functionally broke and largely collapsed. He has no chance whatsoever of being the Republican nominee, |
0:38.9 | but his presence and coming collapse in the race |
0:42.9 | will determine the candidates who will rise. |
0:45.5 | Most likely, Tim Scott, the South Carolina Republican senator, |
0:50.4 | who is moving into third place in Iowa and New Hampshire polls. It's important to understand the |
0:56.7 | connection between Senator Kim Scott and former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie. Their races and |
1:03.8 | their rationales for victory are deeply linked. They're interconnected. Chris Christie is betting |
1:10.5 | that he can beat Donald Trump in New Hampshire. |
1:13.9 | In order for that to happen for Chris Christie, he needs Tim Scott to win in Iowa. If Tim Scott |
1:21.2 | can win in Iowa and Chris Christie can beat Trump in New Hampshire. That means heading into South Carolina, |
1:30.0 | the Republican frontrunner, Trump, will have gone 0 for two. And if that happens, |
1:36.4 | Tim Scott can absolutely win the South Carolina primary, meaning Trump will be 0 for three. |
1:43.4 | Trump's strength in the Republican primary is largely illusory. |
1:47.5 | It's built on the idea that he's inevitable because he's unbeatable. |
1:52.7 | But all of that collapses and fades away if he's beaten. |
1:57.2 | What Trump has going for him right now is that once again, there is a stage full of Republican |
2:03.7 | candidates who have no chance whatsoever of being the Republican nominee. |
2:09.2 | They're a mix of gadflies and dilettons like Vivek Ramoswamy, Nikki Haley, and Mike Pence. |
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