4.2 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 21 May 2023
⏱️ 31 minutes
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0:00.0 | Hey everyone, if you like this podcast, go behind the paywall to get privileged access |
0:06.8 | to the smartest minds and finance. |
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0:19.0 | Join the ReelVision community and learn how to become a better investor. |
0:22.1 | And now to the top analysis of today's markets. |
0:33.1 | The signals are telling me that the liquidity outlook is worsening. |
0:37.2 | Welcome to this edition of StenoSignos. |
0:40.2 | We have a tremendous feed for you today with new action in the banking sector in the US. |
0:47.7 | We will go through the details of the first republic deal and we will look into whether |
0:53.7 | other banks will suffer again this week and into next week as well. |
1:00.1 | The underlying momentum for liquidity is worsening now and every month we update our so-called |
1:08.8 | macro regime indicator at StenoSignos and this month we look into a totally different |
1:16.6 | environment compared to what we were faced with in April and March. |
1:22.5 | So if we look at this regime model we basically divide the world into three main variables |
1:29.6 | of relevance to the macro outlook. |
1:31.7 | First of all the liquidity outlook, secondly the growth outlook and thirdly the inflation |
1:37.6 | outlook and currently we are faced with a scenario where we should expect the liquidity to |
1:43.6 | go down, inflation to go down and growth to go down over the course of the next 30 days according |
1:50.0 | to our forward-looking models. In this edition of StenoSignos we'll spend the most time |
1:56.0 | on assessing the liquidity outlook since it's the variable that has changed direction since April |
2:01.9 | and March. Now we expect liquidity to window over the next 30 to 60 days compared to a scenario |
... |
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