Squawk on the Street: Opening Bell 08/14/2019
Squawk on the Street
CNBC
4.1 • 567 Ratings
🗓️ 14 August 2019
⏱️ 44 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Market insight and analysis. You're listening to the opening bell of CNBC, Squawk on the Street. |
| 0:09.5 | Good Wednesday morning. Welcome to Squawk on the Street. I'm Carl Cantanillo with Jim Kramer at the New York Stock Exchange. |
| 0:14.1 | David Faber has the morning off. As you can see, Dow futures down almost 300 as the 210 yield curve inverts for the first time since 2007. That along with |
| 0:22.4 | some disappointing China data, Germany's economy officially in contraction, adding to worries |
| 0:27.0 | about global growth. Europe is red, Dax down about 2%. Our 30-year yield hits a record low of |
| 0:33.0 | nearly 201. So a lot's been said already today, Jim, about the curve, what it means for the timing of a |
| 0:39.4 | recession. And we should point out, it doesn't necessarily mean stocks start going down. |
| 0:43.3 | Well, look, I have the list in my hands, kind of like Senator McCarthy, list in my hand of 54 |
| 0:49.5 | known stocks in the S&P and how they would do and inverted. |
| 0:57.8 | And out of, let's just say the top 20 I've been working on, there's three that are hurt. |
| 0:59.2 | There's 17 that went. |
| 1:04.5 | Now, if everybody decides that they're going to pay less for every stock because of this, |
| 1:06.1 | obviously all of them will lose. |
| 1:08.7 | And the algorithms are set to make it to all these lose. |
| 1:12.0 | But I would point out that our economy is uniquely not as sensitive because these are not exporters that need to have a dollar weaker. Remember, our |
| 1:18.6 | dollar is just getting stronger. These guys, it's an extraordinary rally in dollar. I don't want to see it. |
| 1:22.8 | But I struggle to reach a conclusion that this is all bad, given the fact that Germany has had these rates for some time. |
| 1:30.8 | And their market is not doing that badly, even though they have an export economy. |
| 1:35.1 | And their DACs, in real terms, is up, even though they're exporting the Mercedes-Benz, Volkswagen, and B.M.W. Right to China. |
| 1:45.7 | And those sales are very weak as we see the numbers from China. So it's not the end of the world, |
| 1:50.4 | or the German market would be down big. |
| 1:52.8 | Well, no one's asking if it's the end of the world. They're asking it if it's the end of the cycle, right? |
... |
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