Spotlight swings back to inflation with CPI
Wall Street Breakfast
Seeking Alpha
4.1 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 11 August 2024
⏱️ 11 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Show Notes
42 high-quality, low beta stocks to better ‘sleep at night'
Chinese robotaxi operator WeRide seeks up to $5B U.S. IPO
Fed Governor Bowman cautions against 'overreacting'
Episode transcripts: seekingalpha.com/wsb
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street brunch, our Sunday look ahead to this week's market moving events, |
| 0:11.1 | along with the weekend's top news and analysis. |
| 0:14.0 | Hello today is Sunday August 11th and I'm your host Kim Kahn. |
| 0:18.0 | Remember inflation? After fixating on the unemployment situation, |
| 0:22.0 | the markets will get their fix of consumer and |
| 0:23.8 | producer prices this week. |
| 0:25.6 | The big show will be on Wednesday when the July C. P.I. is due. |
| 0:29.4 | The consensus is for a 0.2% monthly rise in the headline number with the annual rate staying at 3%. |
| 0:36.2 | The core CPI is seen rising from 0.2% as well, dipping to an annual rate of 3.2%. Wells Fargo economists say, weakening in the jobs market |
| 0:45.6 | may have finally stolen the spotlight from inflation, but the extent to which the |
| 0:49.2 | FOMC reacts to the dimming labor picture depends in part on how price data unfold from here. |
| 0:55.3 | The past two months of inflation prints have shown that the downward trend in price growth |
| 0:59.6 | is back on track after the first quarter derailment. |
| 1:02.8 | The July-CPI report is likely to further the case that inflation is quieting down, even if |
| 1:07.4 | it has not yet returned to the Fed's target. |
| 1:10.6 | They say gasoline prices rose a little over 1% during the month, while grocery store prices were likely little changed amid more stable input prices and rising promotional activity. |
| 1:20.0 | With core goods inflation already running below its pre-pandemic pace, more material |
| 1:25.1 | cooling and services is needed to continue to drive core inflation lower, they added. |
| 1:29.2 | Currently the market is pricing in a 100% chance at the Fed cuts rates at its September meeting, |
| 1:35.0 | but it's a coin flip now on whether the cut will be 25 or 50 basis points. |
| 1:39.2 | On Saturday, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman warned about the Fed overreacting to any single data point. |
| 1:45.2 | She called for gradual accommodation if inflation continues on its current path to 2%, but she's |
... |
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