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Thoughts on the Market

Special Episode: How Much Stimulus Is Enough?

Thoughts on the Market

Morgan Stanley

Business, Markets, Strategy, Alternatives, Equities, Fixed Income, Global, Economics, Macro, Investing

4.81.4K Ratings

🗓️ 22 April 2020

⏱️ 9 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Congress has readied more funds to support U.S. businesses and households in order to shorten the pandemic-induced downturn. How far will they go? Chief U.S. Economist Ellen Zentner and Head of Public Policy Research Michael Zezas discuss the scale of the stimulus and its limits.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Part 1 of a special two-part edition of Thoughts on the Market.

0:06.2

I'm Michael Zezes, how the Public Policy Research and Municipal Strategy for Morgan Stanley.

0:11.0

And I'm Ellen Zentner, Chief U.S. Economist for Morgan Stanley research.

0:15.4

On the special edition of the podcast, we'll be talking about Congress's response to the

0:19.9

coronavirus impact on the economy.

0:22.8

It's Wednesday, April 22nd at 2 PM Eastern time.

0:27.2

So Ellen, it seemed like it was just a few weeks ago

0:29.5

that Congress passed the CARES Act, which was 2 trillion plus dollars of economic aid.

0:36.4

And now we're on the precipice of adding another 400 to 450 billion dollars backfilling

0:42.2

money to the CARES Act, and most of that money seems like it's going to be going to backfilling loans for small businesses.

0:49.0

Why are we here again? Why do you think this is important?

0:52.0

Well I think you and I have talked about this in the past, you know, the small businesses are the backbone

0:56.9

of the economy. They employ 60% of the labor market and so it was important to get money to them in order to try to help them

1:06.4

through this difficult time as quickly as possible.

1:09.9

Now obviously there was a great need because why are we here talking about more funds

1:15.8

for small businesses? It's because that initial program was exhausted so quickly with more

1:21.4

than a million applications approved eating up that 350 billion

1:26.0

that was initially allotted to it very quickly.

1:28.5

So the need is there and clearly this program needed to be expanded.

1:34.0

But at the outset, it's all about giving businesses the best chance of reopening

1:40.0

on the other side of these most negative impacts from coronavirus. You do that and you

1:47.0

give the economy the best chance for bringing the unemployment rate down more quickly.

...

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