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Thoughts on the Market

Special Episode: Europe’s Moment of Solidarity

Thoughts on the Market

Morgan Stanley

Strategy, Alternatives, Macro, Equities, Fixed Income, Investing, Global, Business, Markets, Economics

4.81.4K Ratings

🗓️ 12 June 2020

⏱️ 12 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The proposed €750 billion European Recovery Fund could represent more than just a recovery from COVID-19. It may also signal a new era of political and economic unity.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hello and thanks for joining the special edition of Thoughts in the Market.

0:05.6

I'm Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross Asset Strategy for Morgan Stanley research.

0:09.4

And I am Graza Morratum and Chief Economic Advisor to Morgan Stanley.

0:13.6

Today we'll be talking about the proposed EU Recovery Fund, some of the key debates facing

0:18.1

policymakers, and how investors are viewing the proposal.

0:21.6

We're recording this on Friday at 2 p.m. in London.

0:24.4

Resa, just to catch listeners up to speed, maybe you can start by covering a few high

0:29.0

points of the 750 billion euro recovery fund that's been proposed.

0:33.7

First of all, it is I think a both political and economically significant step.

0:40.0

It is politically significant because it's a strong signal of solidarity in Europe.

0:47.0

The countries with stronger fundamentals with financial muscles such as Germany are prepared to help countries that have been more

0:55.0

severely impacted by COVID-19 and whose economic fundamentals are weaker.

1:00.0

Let me give a few details how does it work.

1:05.0

Essentially the EU countries enable the European Commission to issue 750 billion of long-term AAA rated bonds.

1:19.0

That is just over 5% of the EU GDP. They will then distribute this to member states. About 500 of it will go to grants,

1:30.3

so it doesn't have to be paid back and about 250 billion of it goes in form of loans.

1:37.1

The bulk of the funds, and this is where the economic significance comes through, the bulk of the funds will go to the regions and the sectors that have been affected adversely by COVID-19.

1:51.5

And some of the funds will be used to invest in green and digital priorities

1:58.0

across the EU.

1:59.2

So this idea of Europe coming together, Europe using its joint fiscal power to help weaker regions.

2:06.4

You know, this has been something people have been talking about for a long time, about

2:09.5

something that would really help and stabilize the European Economic Project.

...

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