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Thoughts on the Market

Special Encore: The Red Hot Capex Cycle

Thoughts on the Market

Morgan Stanley

Strategy, Alternatives, Macro, Equities, Fixed Income, Investing, Global, Business, Markets, Economics

4.81.4K Ratings

🗓️ 18 June 2021

⏱️ 10 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Original release on May 21st, 2021: Consumer spending should drive strong business investment in the months ahead, driving global GDP above its pre-COVID-19 path. But inflation may be a risk to watch.

Transcript

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0:00.0

In case you missed it, today we are bringing you a special encore release of a recent

0:05.7

episode.

0:06.7

We'll be back on Monday with a brand new episode.

0:09.7

Welcome to Thoughts in the Market.

0:10.9

I'm Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross-Asset Stragist from Oregon, Stanley.

0:14.6

And I'm Jatinaya, Morgan Sandes, Chief Economist and Global Head of Economics.

0:18.5

And on this special mid-year outlook edition of Thoughts in the Market, we'll be talking

0:22.4

about the outlook for the global economy, business investment, and inflation.

0:26.8

This Friday, May 21st, at 3pm in London.

0:30.3

And Dan Am in New York.

0:32.6

Shethan, it's great to talk to you.

0:34.4

You know, both of us have been spending a lot of the last week talking with investors

0:39.2

about our mid-year outlook, which is a big collaborative process across Morgan Stanley's

0:44.1

Global Economic and Strategy teams, where we all debate and forecast what we think the

0:48.2

next 12 months will look like.

0:49.8

And so I want to start with one of the key questions that at least I've been getting

0:55.0

around that outlook, which is that after the last recession, after the global financial

1:00.6

crisis, people were also optimistic the growth would come back.

1:04.0

They also felt like we returned to a more normal environment.

1:08.0

And yet as soon as 2010, and then again in 2011, you saw these really big disappointments

1:13.8

to growth.

1:14.8

So what's different this time?

...

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