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Thoughts on the Market

Special Encore: Diverging Emerging Markets

Thoughts on the Market

Morgan Stanley

Business, Markets, Strategy, Alternatives, Equities, Fixed Income, Global, Economics, Macro, Investing

4.81.4K Ratings

🗓️ 13 April 2021

⏱️ 10 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Original release on March 25th, 2021: Amid a generally conservative outlook for emerging markets, key differentiators are their scope for policy action, pace of vaccine rollout and equity valuations.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Thoughts in the Market.

0:03.8

I'm Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross-Asset Stragist for Morgan Stanley, and I'm Daniel Blake,

0:08.2

Equity Straddisk covering Asia and Emerging Markets.

0:10.8

And on this special edition of the podcast, we'll be discussing equity markets across

0:14.8

Asia and emerging markets, and how investors can view the regions in light of an ongoing

0:19.4

recovery.

0:20.4

It's Thursday, March 25th, at 12 p.m. in London, and its IPM here in Hong Kong.

0:26.9

So Daniel, it's safe to say that emerging market equities have been a pretty popular

0:31.0

asset class.

0:32.0

We've seen record inflows into exchange-traded funds for emerging market equities, and a

0:36.4

lot of that positive sentiment to start the year was based around this thesis that the

0:41.6

global economy is recovering, and emerging markets are very well positioned to benefit

0:46.3

from that economic recovery.

0:47.9

And yet, it's safe to say that year to date, the road's been a lot rockier.

0:51.7

So what do you think has been going on in emerging market equities, and why have you and

0:58.0

your team been a little bit more cautious on the outlook than many other investors?

1:02.5

So as regular listeners, we'll know we've been discussing our relatively cautious fuel

1:05.7

in E.M. and I would highlight that the concerns we have include the divergence on the policy

1:11.0

cycle.

1:12.0

As China slows its credit and property sectors to manage leverage risks.

1:16.3

And we've also started to see several high beta emerging markets starting to hike rates

1:20.5

out of the pressure from higher interest rates coming out of the bond markets in the

...

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