Special Edition: Prediction Markets – Promise & Pitfalls
The NewsWorthy
Erica Mandy
3.9 • 1.3K Ratings
🗓️ 25 April 2026
⏱️ 17 minutes
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Today is Saturday, April 25th. You've probably heard about it more and more, people betting on |
| 0:04.5 | everything from elections and major global events to the weather and entertainment. They're doing it all |
| 0:09.8 | on prediction markets, which some say could be a powerful new way to understand what's coming next. |
| 0:14.9 | Others say this looks a lot more like gambling and could come with some serious risks. Today, |
| 0:19.7 | I'm joined by Jeff John Roberts, Finance and |
| 0:21.7 | Crypto Editor at Fortune. He's been reporting on how technology is changing finance and what |
| 0:26.5 | these prediction markets could mean for the future. He breaks down how they work, why some news |
| 0:31.0 | organizations are partnering with them, and what makes them different from traditional betting. |
| 0:35.4 | We also talk about the potential upsides and the possible |
| 0:38.0 | downsides, plus how lawmakers and the courts are starting to take notice and what could come next. |
| 0:44.8 | Welcome to the Newsworthy special edition Saturday, when we sit down with a different expert |
| 0:49.0 | or celebrity every Saturday to talk about something in the news. Don't forget to tune in |
| 0:52.9 | every Monday through Friday for our regular episodes where we provide all the day's news in less than 15 minutes. |
| 0:58.9 | I'm Erica Mandy. It's now time for today's special edition Saturday. |
| 1:04.8 | Jeff John Roberts, thanks so much for joining us here on The Newsworthy. Thanks for having me, Erica. |
| 1:09.0 | So first, for people who just aren't that familiar with prediction markets, can you explain |
| 1:13.6 | the basics of what they are and why they seemingly are everywhere these days? |
| 1:18.1 | I understand the confusion because they're basically gambling, and that's not a new thing. |
| 1:23.2 | Prediction markets, however, is much broader than just sports. It can be elections. It can be |
| 1:27.3 | the weather. It can be the weather. |
| 1:28.1 | It can be foreign politics. Will the U.S. invade Iran? Stuff like that. And the key distinction to understand, though, is traditional betting, you're betting against the house, like a casino. With prediction markets, you're betting against other people. Do I think it's going to be sunny tomorrow? I'm going to wager 70%. yeah, so by that contract, you have the other side. |
| 1:46.0 | And then we check the weather tomorrow and whoever is right, get it's going to be sunny tomorrow. I'm going to wager 70%. Yes, I'll buy that contract. You have the other side. |
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