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Squawk on the Street

SOTS 2nd Hour: “Liberation Day” Latest, Goldman’s Chief U.S. Economist on Stocks, & AIG CEO Talks AI 04/01/25

Squawk on the Street

CNBC

Business, News, Investing

4.1567 Ratings

🗓️ 1 April 2025

⏱️ 44 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

S&P and Nasdaq coming off their worst quarter since 2022 - Sara Eisen, David Faber, and Carl Quintanilla broke down the latest for stocks with one day to go until President Trump’s big “Liberation Day” of additional tariffs, and a number of key questions remain. Goldman’s Chief U.S. Economist David Kostin joined the team ahead of things… as the firm raises their recession odds, and lowers their S&P target for year-end. Plus, the latest from the White House when it comes to possible scenarios tomorrow. Also in focus: Are airline stocks grounded here? The team discussed a new downgrade of key names from Jefferies, and got a read from the ground with the CEO of one budget carrier; What the privatization of Fannie and Freddie could mean for consumers - with the head of one of the biggest commercial real estate financing firms on street, Walker & Dunlop; And a deep-dive with the CEO of AIG on how AI is changing the insurance game. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer

Transcript

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0:00.0

Market Insight and Analysis. You're listening to the opening bell of CNBC Squawk on the Street.

0:12.9

Good Tuesday morning. Welcome to Squawk on the Street. I'm Sarah Eisen with Carl Kintania and David Faber. Live as always a post-9 of the New York Stock Exchange.

0:21.2

Take a look at stocks. We start off a new quarter in a new month in the red, not sharply,

0:26.9

but we are down a third of a percent on the S&P and the Dow down 280 NASDAQ getting hit as well,

0:32.9

but faring a little bit better for a change after an 8 percent slide in the first quarter.

0:38.4

Worst quarter overall for stocks in years. Take a look at treasuries and how we start off the new month. They're buying

0:44.0

bonds, safe haven as yields go lower. Look at the tenure. It's 4.165 and the two year below 3.9%. So

0:52.7

continuation of some of the trends we've seen in the first part of the year.

0:56.0

Getting some ISMs and Joltz right now. Let's get back to Rick Santelli. Hey, Rick.

1:01.2

Yes, let's start out with Joltz, shall we? Expecting a number for our Febbreed, around 7,600,000.

1:07.4

Comes in just a smidge lower, 7,568, 7,568,000.

1:12.6

7,568,000.

1:14.9

How does that comp?

1:16.2

Well, that would be the lowest rate on a month-over-month basis going back to, well,

1:21.8

the end of last year when it was 7,508.

1:24.4

So we see it's coming down, but we are really starting consolidate now. That's three

1:29.3

months in a row. We're right around 7.5 million. Let's look at construction spending for February,

1:35.3

expecting up 3 tenths, Carl, it's double plus, up 7 tenths, almost three quarters of 1%. That would be

1:41.8

the strongest rate going back to October of last year. And last

1:45.8

month, here's the problem. Minus two-tenths moves to minus half of 1% in the January read. Now,

1:53.2

let's look at ISM manufacturing, the PMIs, the headline number, 49.0, a little bit lower than expectations.

2:03.2

And it puts us back in contraction territory, which means we're going back to the end of last year,

...

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