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On The Tape

Something Happening Here & A Conversation With Terry Duffy, CEO of CME Group

On The Tape

RiskReversal Media

News, Business, Investing, Business News

4.6757 Ratings

🗓️ 10 March 2023

⏱️ 68 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Guy Adami and Danny Moses are holding down the fort on this week’s On The Tape! Silicon Valley Bank launches $2.25 billion share sale to shore up capital base (3:10). The issue doesn’t appear to be systemic, but it could be foreshadowing of turbulent airways ahead (12:45). Jerome Powell spoke, Fed Funds Futures flipped (18:40). Guy & Danny stress the importance of having a plan when trading this downward trending market (25:30). What we’re seeing isn’t a credit issue, it’s a leverage issue (31:30). It’s time for gold to get off the mat (32:45). CME Group’s CEO Terry Duffy is back to break the internet again! Terry discusses his latest opinion piece for the Financial Times: Risk management is the alpha for a time of uncertainty (42:00). Are financial regulators missing any glaring red flags in the market right now (51:30)? How is the “bad behavior” of this market different from the 2008-09 financial crisis (55:15)? Traders are losing the forest through the trees hanging on every word Jerome Powell says (59:00). We look back on the time Terry Duffy blasted disgraced FTX Founder & CEO Sam Bankman-Fried (1:01:00). Check out our show notes here ---- See what adding futures can do for you at cmegroup.com/onthetape.  ---- Shoot us an email at [email protected] with any feedback, suggestions, or questions for us to answer on the pod and follow us @OnTheTapePod. We’re on social: Follow Dan Nathan @RiskReversal on Twitter Follow @GuyAdami on Twitter Follow Danny Moses @DMoses34 on Twitter Follow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMedia Subscribe to our YouTube page

Transcript

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0:00.0

As you folks have come to know, I'm a bit of a classic rock junkie, as it were.

0:06.8

And a band going back, way back, Danny Moses, consisted of the following performers.

0:13.7

Stephen Stills, Neil Young, Dewey Martin, Jim Messina, and for you, old-timers, Richie Fureure, and I will tell you, those are the members of Buffalo

0:24.2

Springfield. By the way, you're listening to the On the Tape podcast. I am Guy Adami, always joined by

0:30.5

Dan Nathan and Danny Moses, except this week, Dan Nathan is on vacation, well-deserved, much-needed vacation, but he stuck around to have a conversation with us with the great Terry Duffy, the CEO of CME Group.

0:45.9

So stick around for that.

0:47.5

But the reason I mentioned Buffalo Springfield, Danny, as you probably know, one of their great songs is for what it's worth.

0:55.1

There's something happen in here.

0:57.9

It's exactly right.

0:59.5

There's something happening here, but what it is ain't exactly clear.

1:04.5

Well, if you've listened to the On the Tape podcast, it's been crystal clear for Danny

1:09.7

Moses for quite some time. And as we sit here on this

1:12.4

Thursday afternoon, obviously a lot can change by this time tomorrow. But the S&P is now below that

1:19.3

200-day moving average. We're looking at 3930 or so in the S&P. Dow Jones down 400 and changed.

1:25.8

The NASDAQ giving it up a bit as well. And Danny, we have a VIX that's now north of 21. So we're going to have a great conversation with Terry Duffy. We're going to talk about some of the things that he's talking about and he's seeing. He wrote an op-ed in the financial times that we will discuss. But what strikes you, I mean, other than the obvious, the market, there are a lot of

1:45.3

things under the surface, Danny, that are absolutely concerning. Everybody look, what's going down.

1:52.2

Everything's going down. So, all right, except the VIX guy, to your point. So there's a couple

1:56.5

things that are happening here. Let's start with the most recent and work our way backwards.

2:00.4

Effectively, we've had a bank failure for the most part with Silvergate and people said,

2:04.0

okay, that was crypto, only not a big deal. Some of those crypto clients went to signature bank,

2:09.7

SB&Y. You can see what's happening to that sucks. So people believe that they might be in trouble.

2:14.1

And then basically late yesterday, you had Silicon Valley Bank. Kudos to Jim Chano's, Porter Collins, Vincent Daniel, and the lost art of single stock shorting and really doing bottom-up analysis of understanding that, again, yes, it's a bank.

...

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