Sneak Peek: NPR's Electoral College Map Analysis

The NPR Politics Podcast

NPR

Politics, Daily News, News

4.5 • 24.9K Ratings

🗓️ 22 April 2024

⏱️ 20 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

The 2024 presidential race will come down to two key regions: the industrial Midwest and the Sun Belt, The number of white voters without a college degree is dwindling as a share of the total electorate, but can Trump's inroads with voters of color help him to make up the ground he needs to defeat President Biden?

This episode: senior White House correspondent Tamara Keith, political correspondent Danielle Kurtzleben, and senior political editor and correspondent Domenico Montanaro.

This podcast was produced by Kelli Wessinger and Casey Morell. Our editor is Eric McDaniel. Our executive producer is Muthoni Muturi.

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Transcript

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0:00.0	This message comes from NPR sponsor Organic Valley, a co-op of small organic family farms dedicated to producing food that promotes respect for the dignity and interdependence of all life.
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0:17.0	Hi, this is Jessica from Council Bluffs, Iowa. I just visited my first ever sheets in Pittsburgh, PA, after an inspiring day touring
0:26.3	falling water by Frank Lloyd Wright. This podcast was recorded at 12.34 PM.m. on Monday April 22nd.
0:35.0	Things may have changed by the time you hear this but I will have checked off one
0:39.5	okay two things from my bucket list.
0:49.0	You and Joe Biden visited Sheets and Wawa. Falling water is beautiful though.
0:51.0	Such an Iowan.
0:52.0	Hey there, it's the NPR Politics Podcast.
0:55.0	I'm Tammer Keith, I cover the White House.
0:57.0	I'm Danielle Kurtz-Labe and I cover the presidential campaign.
1:00.0	And I'm Domenico Montanaro, senior political editor, and correspondent. We have a little bit more than six. Medical Muncnero Senior Political Editor and Correspondent.
1:03.0	We have a little bit more than six months to go before the election, and to better understand
1:08.1	the landscape of the presidential race, we're going to walk through our first electoral vote map of the cycle and
1:14.6	podcast listeners you are hearing about this first.
1:18.2	Domenico your story will go up on n-PR.org tomorrow and it focuses on the states that are expected to be most
1:25.3	competitive in November and some basic math here the candidates have to get to
1:29.8	at least 270 electoral votes to win that That's a majority of the 538 total available. So
1:37.6	tell us about your map. Yeah, I mean there aren't any huge surprises in the states that we'll be looking at and focusing on pretty heavily, but they are the ones that we've been talking about in these two sort of buckets, the Blue Wall States of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, and the Sunbelt states in Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and to a little bit of a lesser degree, North Carolina.
2:05.2	But essentially, those seven states are going to get billions of dollars in advertising,
2:10.3	almost all of the focus for organizers with a few exceptions here and there but it really is a
2:16.6	shrunken map if you consider where we were say 20 years ago.
	...

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