4.6 • 3.5K Ratings
🗓️ 28 November 2021
⏱️ 10 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Vaccines are the best way to stop deaths and serious cases related to covid19, this is an irrefutable fact. However, recent ONS data seems to show that vaccinated people had a higher all cause death rate than unvaccinated people. Why is this data misleading? Here?s a clue: it?s to do with a quirky statistical phenomenon called Simpsons Paradox.
(Image: The Simpsons / TCFFC )
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0:00.0 | Before this BBC podcast kicks off, I'd like to tell you about some others you might enjoy. |
0:05.1 | My name's Will Wilkin and I Commission Music Podcast for the BBC. |
0:08.7 | It's a really cool job, but every day we get to tell the incredible stories behind songs, |
0:13.5 | moments and movements, stories of struggle and success, rises and falls, the funny, the ridiculous. |
0:19.1 | And the BBC's position, at the heart of British music |
0:21.7 | means we can tell those stories like no one else. |
0:24.5 | We were, are and always will be right there at the centre of the narrative. |
0:28.6 | So whether you want an insightful take on music right now |
0:31.3 | or a nostalgic deep dive into some of the most famous and infamous moments in music, |
0:35.7 | check out the music podcasts on BBC Sounds. |
0:42.5 | Hello and welcome to more or less. We're the programme that gives dodgy statistics a hard stare |
0:49.6 | that would make Paddington Bear proud of us, and I'm Tim Harford. |
0:58.8 | On November the 21st, this claim was making the rounds. |
1:02.8 | There are more deaths in vaccinated than unvaccinated. |
1:07.0 | Is the right policy to vaccinate low-risk populations? |
1:10.0 | Any explanation, ONS? The claim was illustrated by a chart based on data from the UK's Office for National Statistics |
1:17.6 | and did indeed show that in England, for people between the ages of 10 and 59, more vaccinated |
1:25.6 | people died than unvaccinated. |
1:29.4 | But wait a minute. |
1:30.8 | I don't think it means what you think it means. |
1:33.1 | Listeners who are both loyal and memorious |
1:36.0 | will remember a tricksy little statistical phenomenon |
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