Signs of Trouble in the Bank Earnings "Blowout"? Plus Coinbase's Debut ( w/ Chris Whalen)
Real Vision: Finance & Investing
Real Vision
4.1 • 1.1K Ratings
🗓️ 14 April 2021
⏱️ 42 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | The Big Banks report blowout earnings, but is there trouble beneath the hood? Plus, coin |
| 0:16.6 | bases $100 billion debut on the financial stage. For all this and more, I'm joined by Chris |
| 0:21.8 | Whalen of Whalen Global Advisors. Chris, welcome to the Daily Briefing. How are you doing? |
| 0:26.2 | My pleasure. How are you? All good here in Westchester County. |
| 0:29.9 | I'm doing really well, Chris, and I'm so glad that you joined us because you are an expert |
| 0:34.8 | on the banks and you really could not have picked a better day to come because we had a huge |
| 0:39.6 | release of earnings today from Goldman Sachs, Dapy Morgan, as well as Wells Fargo. And the headline |
| 0:45.7 | news, Chris, is that it was an absolute blowout. Your net income was much, much higher than analysts |
| 0:51.9 | were expecting. Do you agree with that narrative? No, I mean, the narrative is about being constructive. |
| 0:59.0 | If you're not constructive, they don't put you on TV, which is why I haven't been on a certain |
| 1:03.8 | network in a while. The banks are basically taking income from last year that they had put aside |
| 1:11.0 | for COVID for possible losses and they're reporting it as income now. So that's good. The numbers |
| 1:17.0 | are great. And under gap accounting, this is right. But the thing is, if you take JP Morgan and you |
| 1:22.6 | take the reserve release out, their revenues were down year over year. You know, their earnings |
| 1:28.5 | would have been down year over year. And nobody on Wall Street really gets past the first paragraph |
| 1:33.4 | and the press release. So they don't bother with this stuff. The other key thing is that banks are |
| 1:38.4 | continuing to see their assets run off. In other words, they're not originating new loans fast |
| 1:44.6 | enough to keep up with the loans that are either being redeemed or prepaid early. A lot of early |
| 1:50.2 | prepayments, especially in business loans, that kills banks. Because when they have to work harder to |
| 1:55.8 | replace a loan, it got paid off early, that just adds to their burden. It's so competitive now |
| 2:01.8 | with all the big banks today to get quality assets. So a lot of them will just fold their hands and |
| 2:07.1 | sit back. And that's why generally lending is falling. So Chris, a year ago, the problem seemed to |
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