SI50: Why great investing is counter-intuitive to Human Nature
Top Traders Unplugged
Niels Kaastrup-Larsen
4.8 • 670 Ratings
🗓️ 25 August 2019
⏱️ 86 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Today we discuss the potential dangers of avoiding simplicity, how good Trading is counter-intuitive to Human Nature, the benefits of doing the same thing over and over, how to earn big profits through aggressive Trend Following strategies, the secrets to building wealth through investing, and how we like to approach correlations in our portfolios. Questions answered this week include: Why are complex strategies more attractive to investors? Is the phrase ‘this time it’s different’ actually true? How important is it to have access to vast amounts of data? How much capital is needed to operate a profitable & diversified Trend Following portfolio? What questions should Investors be asking Fund Managers? Do we use Volume as part of our strategies?
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Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 – Intro
01:00 – Macro recap from Niels
02:40 – Weekly review of performance
07:45 – Voicemail from Sam
10:15 – Top tweets
44:20 – Question 1: George; With small AUM, should traders/investors outsource TF?
01:04:15 – Live event update 10/26/19-10/27/19
01:05:00 – Questions 2/3: James; What are the most misunderstood parts of TF? What questions should investors be asking?
01:19:50 – Questions 4/5: James; Do you look at volume or just price? If correlations pick up, do you alter your system?
01:22:45 – Benchmark performance update
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | You're about to join Jerry Parker, Maritz Siebert, and Nealz Kastrup Larson on their raw and honest journey into the world of systematic investing and learn about the most dependable and consistent yet often overlooked investment strategy. |
| 0:14.9 | Welcome to the Systematic Investor podcast series. |
| 0:19.6 | Jerry Parker, Moritz Siebert and I, Niels Kastaflasner, back with this week's edition |
| 0:24.1 | of the Systematic Investor Series, where each week we give you a raw and honest account |
| 0:29.3 | of what it's like to be a rules-based investor, what news, articles, and market moves |
| 0:34.2 | caught our attention, and of course where we also attempt to answer your questions. |
| 0:39.8 | If you're a first time listener, welcome to the show. We appreciate you taking time out to spend |
| 0:44.5 | with us and we aim to do our best to make it worth your while. As usual, let me start by saying |
| 0:51.9 | good morning to you, Jerry and good afternoon to you, Moritz. |
| 0:54.8 | Good morning, Jerry. Good afternoon, Niels. How are you guys? |
| 0:57.3 | Oh, doing well. Good morning. Good afternoon. Absolutely. |
| 1:00.8 | Let me sort of quickly talk a little bit about some of the things that caught my eye this week. |
| 1:07.8 | I mean, of course, we had another busy week, really just after a series of tweets |
| 1:14.0 | that kind of began with a bit of rage against the Fed chair, Powell. But then it was combined |
| 1:21.0 | with news from China, the plans to add tariffs on additional U.S. goods. And of course, that was a response from President Trump |
| 1:32.3 | the same day that now the U.S. will hike tariffs on most imports from China as this trade war with Beijing |
| 1:39.2 | escalates. And I think he also, quote-unquote, ordered U. ordered US companies to find alternatives to China. |
| 1:46.0 | Now, all of this resulted in a bit of a U-turn for stocks and bonds, |
| 1:50.5 | sending stocks down a couple of percent for the week. |
| 1:53.4 | And the U.S. 10-year bond now only 16 basis points from its 2016 low in yield. Energy markets, I guess, came under pressure from these |
| 2:06.2 | escalations and gold, made a new fresh five-year high, around 1526 an ounce. And we also saw |
| 2:15.2 | a little bit of a lift in the volatility index so there seems to |
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