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Top Traders Unplugged

SI327: 2024's Biggest Investment & Trend Following Insights (Part 1)

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Business, Business News, Investing, News

4.8670 Ratings

🗓️ 21 December 2024

⏱️ 59 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

This part 1 of 2 episode features a compelling roundtable discussion among all of our incredible co-hosts here at TopTradersUnplugged, where we reflect on the key takeaways of 2024. The main focus is on the significant return dispersion observed in the trend-following community throughout 2024, where performance varied dramatically among managers. We explore the factors contributing to this dispersion, such as differences in speed, market universe, and the impact of discretionary de-risking strategies. Additionally, we examine the influence of macroeconomic changes, particularly the effects of Federal Reserve policies, on market trends and investor behavior. As the conversation unfolds, we also share insights and personal reflections on our investment strategies and predictions for 2025.

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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

You're about to join Neil's Kostrup Larson on a raw and honest journey into the world of systematic investing

0:07.2

and learn about the most dependable and consistent yet often overlooked investment strategy.

0:13.2

Welcome to the Systematic Investor Series.

0:26.7

Welcome or welcome back to this week's edition of the Systematic Investor series with Katie Kavinsky, Jim Kassan, Rob Carver, Mark Rathamsinski, Richard Brennan, Alan Dunn, Nick

0:33.3

Balthas, Andrew Beer, and I, Niels Castroblassen. And as you can tell from this introduction, today and next week will be very special episodes

0:41.2

because it's that time of the year where all nine of us get together for one big conversation

0:47.0

and debate.

0:48.4

So firstly, let me start by thanking all of you for making the time for this extended recording

0:52.7

today, which I really have been looking forward to. And of course, for all the time for this extended recording today, which I really have been looking

0:54.5

forward to. And of course, for all the time and energy you have put into making the weekly

0:59.9

episodes that we have published this year, it means a lot to me, and based on the feedback

1:04.4

we get, I know it means a lot to our community. We are recording today on December 4th, and this

1:10.2

conversation will be split into two parts

1:12.3

and published on December 21st and December 28th. We've got a great lineup of topics that we

1:18.6

shared with each other beforehand and to mention just some of the themes that we will cover

1:23.0

today and next week in part two here are some of the headlines. The biggest investment mistakes of

1:29.1

2024. The US dollar under the new Trump administration. The efficacy of replicating

1:35.6

trend following returns. The mean bubble. Manage futures beta, does it exist? The return

1:41.9

dispersion between CTAs this year, the role of social media in

1:46.3

raising AUM, are systematic strategies becoming overcrowded, and are markets becoming less efficient?

1:54.7

So, as you can hear, we have a really packed agenda, so let's dive straight into it.

1:59.5

The format of the conversation today will be that

...

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