4.8 • 670 Ratings
🗓️ 18 December 2024
⏱️ 59 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Ed Yardeni, President of Yardeni Research, joins Alan Dunne in this episode to review his Roaring 2020s thesis for the US economy. Ed makes a compelling case for sustained economic growth, driven by rising productivity gains fuelled by technological advancements. The discussion covers expectations for the policy mix under the incoming Trump administration, including how fiscal developments could influence the Federal Reserve's actions. The conversation also examines developments in the bond markets, exploring whether meaningful deficit reductions can keep the bond vigilantes at bay. He shares his optimistic outlook on the stock market, despite elevated valuations, high concentration in the S&P 500 and speculative behaviour in certain areas. Finally, Ed offers his perspective on gold and questions whether Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies are merely the modern equivalent of “digital tulips.”
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Episode TimeStamps:
02:14 - (Re)Introduction to Ed Yardeni
04:51 - How the incoming U.S. administration will impact the economy
07:55 - Has Trump fought back the bond vigilantes?
10:52 - Was the Fed cut unnecessary?
13:20 - Strange decisions from the Fed
16:14 - Will the Fed be true to their words?
17:57 - Will inflation become sticky?
19:29 - Yardeni's perspective on the neutral...
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0:00.0 | I want to say from all your listeners that Yardini research is seriously considering issuing |
0:11.9 | convertible bonds at 0% and buying Bitcoin. |
0:16.0 | I mean, if Micro Strategy can play that game, why can't anybody play that game? |
0:20.5 | And, you know, so Bitcoin goes up and then |
0:22.2 | my stock price goes up and then I issue more stock and I buy more Bitcoin. So it's, you know, |
0:29.8 | the fountain of youth. I mean, it's El Dorado. Imagine spending an hour with the world's greatest traders. |
0:39.3 | Imagine learning from their experiences, their successes, and their failures. |
0:43.8 | Imagine no more. |
0:45.7 | Welcome to Top Traders Unplugged, the place where you can learn from the best hedge fund managers in the world |
0:51.6 | so you can take your manager, due diligence, or investment career |
0:55.0 | to the next level. Before we begin today's conversation, remember to keep two things in mind. |
1:00.5 | All the discussion we'll have about investment performance is about the past, and past performance |
1:05.1 | does not guarantee or even infer anything about future performance. Also understand that there's a |
1:10.5 | significant risk of financial |
1:11.7 | loss with all investment strategies, and you need to request and understand the specific risks |
1:16.9 | from the investment manager about their product before you make investment decisions. |
1:21.3 | Here's your host, veteran hedge fund manager, Nealz Kostrup Larson. |
1:31.1 | What? manager, Niels Kostrup Larson. Welcome and welcome back to another conversation in our series of episodes that focuses |
1:35.3 | on markets and investing from a global macro perspective. |
1:39.2 | This is a series that I not only find incredibly interesting, as well as intellectually challenging, but also |
1:45.6 | very important given where we are in the global economy and the geopolitical cycle. |
1:52.4 | We want to dig deep into the minds of some of the most prominent experts to help us better |
... |
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