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Top Traders Unplugged

SI325: Why Adaptive Strategies Matter Now More Than Ever ft. Graham Robertson

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Business, Business News, Investing, News

4.8670 Ratings

🗓️ 7 December 2024

⏱️ 62 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Today, together with Graham Robertson of MAN AHL, we delve into the intriguing dynamics of trend following and its relationship with current market conditions, particularly influenced by central bank actions. We examine how trend followers have navigated recent volatility and the challenges posed by fluctuating interest rate expectations. We highlight the significance of understanding correlation trends among different asset classes and the importance of diversifying strategies in enhancing portfolio resilience. The discussion also touches on the complexities of trend following strategies and the necessity for clearer communication to investors about their benefits. As we explore the evolving landscape of systematic investing, the episode underscores the need for adaptive strategies in an unpredictable economic environment.

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:52 - What has caught our attention recently?

02:04 - Are single stocks signaling trouble?

05:00 - Major divergence in market performance globally

08:06 - Industry performance update

09:06 - Our key observations from 2024

11:24 - Advice for getting your market capacity right

15:33 - Our thoughts on trading speed

17:14 - Don't get too caught up on specific narratives

18:38 - Industry performance numbers

20:02 - How Idiosyncratic risk works

26:55 - Setting up the optimal defense

28:31 - Don't be...

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

You're about to join Neil's Kostrup Larson on a raw and honest journey into the world of systematic investing

0:07.2

and learn about the most dependable and consistent yet often overlooked investment strategy.

0:13.2

Welcome to the Systematic Investor Series.

0:32.5

Welcome or welcome back to this week's edition of the Systematic Investor Series with Graham Robertson and I, Neil's Castro-Blaston, where each week we take the pulse of the global market through the lens of a rules-based investor.

0:36.7

Graham, it is wonderful to have you back this week. How are things in London?

0:43.4

Niels, great to be back. Yeah, it's, I guess, classic London, December at the moment. It's a bit grey. It's a bit drizzly. I'm looking forward to taking a bit of time off and hopefully a bit

0:47.9

of sunshine. Yeah, no, absolutely. I think we all do. We've got a really good lineup of question thanks to you and topics that we're

0:57.0

going to be discussing today. But first of all, I always love to hear what you have on your,

1:03.3

or have had on your radar the last few weeks. So let's dive into that first. Yeah, absolutely.

1:10.5

I mean, I guess what's been on most investors' minds in the last couple of weeks has been what's been going on in the US and the President-elect.

1:19.6

Its effect on trendfling, I guess.

1:22.6

We'll talk, I think, a fair bit about the US and the dollar and US stocks today, but really that's

1:28.2

been the interesting thing. In particular, I would say what was fascinating to me was just

1:33.7

what was happening in bonds globally before the election came out. Bonn yields going higher,

1:39.1

bonds selling off. So I think in general, trend followers were somewhat well positioned for that happening and the Trump trade has been okay.

1:48.4

But you know, you look at what's been drawing returns. It's just astonishing how much the US comes across, whether it's the dollar, whether it's U.S. stock indices, whether it's bonds.

1:59.5

It's just key to what's going on, both in trend

2:02.9

following, I guess, in markets in general, right?

2:04.8

No, I completely agree. What's interesting about it, in my opinion, is that I think before the

2:11.5

election, maybe in the first few days after the election, I think investors, if we just look at

2:16.6

the markets, had a pretty clear idea as to

2:19.5

what should happen or what will happen with inflation and rates and so on and so forth.

...

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