SI321: Post Election - Why Trends Matter More Than Ever ft. Alan Dunne

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Business, Business News, Investing, News

4.8 • 670 Ratings

🗓️ 8 November 2024

⏱️ 63 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Together with Alan Dunne, we delve into the shifting landscape of systematic investing, highlighting the growing use of quant based strategies as well as AI and machine learning in portfolio management. The discussion also emphasizes the significant impact of concentration within the S&P 500, with Goldman Sachs now predicting that this could lead to lower returns for traditional equity investments in the coming decade. We explore various economic themes, and note the challenges facing Europe compared to the optimism in the US markets. We also reflect on the recent elections and their implications for future economic policies. The conversation wraps up with insights on trend following strategies and how they can enhance portfolio diversification, particularly in a climate of rising yields and market volatility.

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Episode TimeStamps:

01:05 - What has caught our attention recently?

03:17 - Dark times ahead for Europe?

06:26 - An analysis of the election

11:46 - Niels' thoughts on the election outcome

14:58 - Alan's thoughts on the election outcome

18:11 - A global macro perspective

28:00 - Has the election outcome any effect on the US deficits?

31:39 - Industry performance update

37:19 - Q1, Yann: I’m wondering if, for portfolio stability, it might make sense to replace bonds with outcome-defined or buffered ETFs. Any thoughts?

37:33 - Q1, Yann: I’m wondering if, for portfolio...

Transcript

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0:00.0	You're about to join Neil's Kostrup Larson on a raw and honest journey into the world of systematic investing and learn about the most dependable and consistent yet often overlooked investment strategy. Welcome to the systematic investor series. Welcome and welcome back to this week's edition of the Systematic Investors series with Alan Don and I, Neil's Kastro Blasen, where each week we take the pulse of the global markets through the lens of our old-based investor.
0:33.7	Alan, wonderful to be back with you this week. How are you doing?
0:37.3	I'm good, Neil's all good here in Dublin. How are you doing?
0:40.7	Not too bad, probably a bit jet lag as you and I talked about beforehand, but I'm sure the
0:46.6	riveting topics we're going to be discussing today will keep me right awake and very alert for sure.
0:57.1	Now, we do have a question, but we also have a number of topics that we need to tackle today. It has certainly not been an uninteresting period we've
1:03.2	just gone through and are still going through, to say the least. Now, as we always do,
1:08.8	before we dive into the topics, I'm curious to hear what's been on your
1:12.5	radar since we last spoke.
1:15.8	Well, a lot going on, obviously, and I know we'll talk about the elections and all of that
1:20.8	in a moment, but another thing that I've been following with interest lately is in Europe,
1:27.1	and the last time I was on, we spoke about Draghi's report to revitalise the European
1:32.2	economy.
1:33.4	And a couple of developments since then, you know, in that whole context, there's been an ongoing
1:38.6	saga in Germany around Volkswagen and the challenge that the German auto industry has been experiencing
1:45.6	and Volkswagen have had a proposal to cut clothes three factories in Germany
1:52.6	and cut their workforce and cut pay by I think by 10%.
1:56.9	I understand there are similar challenges in Italy for the owner of Opel and Fiat.
2:02.3	So it's just interesting.
2:03.5	The car industry in Europe employs 14 million people and we've got this challenge in Europe
2:09.0	from the influx of EVs in particular from China.
2:13.7	So certainly a structural theme we have been talking about.
	...

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