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Top Traders Unplugged

SI281: More Markets = Better Performance? ft. Mark Rzepczynski

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Business, Business News, Investing, News

4.8670 Ratings

🗓️ 3 February 2024

⏱️ 57 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Today, Mark Rzepczynski joins us to reflect on how the first month of 2024 has been treating investor. We also discuss how misinformation posses a major threat to the global economy and how some managers are moving away from price as the only data input, how speed plays a role within trend following and why it is important to be aware of a manager’s "personality". Lastly, we dive deep into principal component analysis and the factors that drive trend following performance, how trading more markets may produce better returns according to new research and how diversification can come in many different forms.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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Episode TimeStamps:

01:09 - What has caught our interest recently?

02:27 - Industry performance update

06:16 - Misinformation - a global threat

12:14 - The drivers of price

17:17 - Finding the optimal lookback period

22:48 - Managers have different personalities

29:53 - What makes up good trend following performance?

32:24 - Diving into principal component analysis

39:32 - More markets = better returns?

44:54 - Diversification can come in many forms

49:37 - How will trend following perform in different cycles?

54:34 - Thanks for listening

Resources discussed in this Episode:

    LINK SI281: History Shows What to Expect from Trend-Following...

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

You're about to join Neil's Kostrup Larson on a raw and honest journey into the world of systematic investing and learn about the most dependable and consistent yet often overlooked investment strategy.

0:13.2

Welcome to the Systematic Investor Series.

0:26.7

Welcome and welcome back to this week's edition of the Systematic Investor series with Mark Rezsabtsinski and I, Neil's Castle, Larsen,

0:29.3

where each week we take the pulse of the global markets through the lens of a rules-based investor.

0:35.5

Mark, wonderful to be back with you this week. How are you doing?

0:39.9

Good. I haven't talked to you since last year, so happy New Year, but we're already a month

0:46.2

into the year, surprisingly. Yeah, we are indeed, actually. We're recording on the first of February,

0:53.5

and as people who have followed the last couple of weeks episode, I'm actually recording this from a hotel room in Miami since we have been attending the big conference week for our industry over here.

1:09.2

So we got to, I mean, you provided some really, really interesting topic,

1:13.1

so I appreciate that. But before we go into any of that, of course, I'm always curious,

1:19.4

kind of what's been on your radar on the first month of the year, anything in particular

1:23.8

that caught your interest? Well, what caught me my interest was what happened yesterday with the Fed.

1:30.5

We always are focused on Fed, and it's not so much the announcement,

1:34.9

but it's Jay Powell's press conference.

1:38.0

And what we learned is that they are data-driven,

1:42.4

which has been known for a long time, and we will lower rates when the data tells us to.

1:49.0

And then people ask, of course, well, what does the data have to tell you to lower rates?

1:54.8

We'll say, we'll see.

1:56.7

So this is the classic issue that we're facing right now with the Fed is that they say,

2:02.9

we're going to look at data.

2:04.8

We're going to tell you that there are some data we're going to look at, but we're not going

2:09.0

to tell you how we're going to interpret that data until after the fact, which is frustrating

...

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