4.8 • 670 Ratings
🗓️ 28 October 2023
⏱️ 86 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
In today’s episode, Richard Brennan takes us on a tour around the Australian economy and how the investment landscape is changing. We also discuss how different investment philosophies demand different interpretations and why the “one size fits all” approach does not exist, how cross-sectional momentum differs from absolute momentum. Lastly, we discuss why Richard uses an ensemble of trend following systems and why he always strives for maximum diversification, and why I feel we should not introduce divisiveness in the trend following industry and much more.
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Episode TimeStamps:
01:04 - What is happening in Australia at the moment?
07:53 - The investment landscape is changing
09:57 - Best UCITS Managed Futures Fund revealed
13:17 - Industry performance update
16:25 - Why does OJ keep rising?
19:54 - There is no "one size fits all" approaches
26:44 - How does cross-sectional momentum work?
31:12 - The importance of correlation
40:26 - Nuancing "treating all markets equally"
48:00 - The use of continuous signals
53:03 - How does absolute momentum works?
59:13 - Discussing sample size
01:01:30 - The principle of no selection bias
01:04:16 - Why Rich uses traditional risk measures
01:06:56 - Letting profits run to their conclusion
01:08:03 - Single...
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0:00.0 | You're about to join Neil's Kostrup Larson on a raw and honest journey into the world of systematic investing and learn about the most dependable and consistent yet often overlooked investment strategy. |
0:13.2 | Welcome to the Systematic Investor Series. |
0:26.3 | Welcome all welcome back to this week's edition of the Systematic Investor series with Richard Brennan and I, Niels Castor Larsen, |
0:28.8 | where each week we take the polls of the global market |
0:31.5 | through the lens of a rules-based investor. |
0:34.0 | Rich, it is great to be back on the podcast after my three week being off air, and a big thank |
0:39.9 | you, of course, to Alan for allowing me to not having to record from various hotels during my |
0:45.6 | travels, and I thoroughly enjoyed the conversations that Alan had with Andrew, Nick and Rob |
0:51.2 | in the last three weeks. So, you and I have a tough act to follow today. |
0:57.4 | But it's been also a while since you and I have spoken. So I'm always curious to what's happening, |
1:03.1 | what's going on down under. Well, Nils, firstly, yep, congratulations to Alan. Great job he did. |
1:09.0 | And it's in good hands when you decide to have a bit of a break and a holiday. So it's been a great few episodes he's been looking after for you. So he's done a great job. But look, I suppose what's happening over here in Australia? Well, all eyes in Australia are pretty well |
1:30.0 | focused on the escalating tensions in the Middle East. So that's something that we're pretty |
1:35.1 | well concerned about over here. Fortunately, we live in a very safe country. So, but we are |
1:40.4 | concerned about that. And, you know, basically we're seeing this rising geopolitical tensions across the world |
1:48.3 | in certain hotspots, Ukraine, Middle East, etc. |
1:52.4 | So we are sort of entering a more unstable time. |
1:58.0 | But over here in Australia, we're also particularly focused on the interest rates. And |
2:04.0 | because here in Australia, we're very much dependent on our export trade, particularly to China, |
2:11.1 | etc. So the interest rates effectively significantly affect the exchange rates and our ability for our export economies to do well |
2:19.6 | over here. But also in Australia for at least the last two decades, Niels, we've had a significant |
2:27.2 | boom in residential property prices. You know, COVID, of course, sorted out commercial property |
... |
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