SI251: A Deep Dive Into Models and Systems ft. Richard Brennan

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Business, Business News, Investing, News

4.8 • 670 Ratings

🗓️ 8 July 2023

⏱️ 63 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Richard Brennan returns for a true trend following conversation where we dive deep into the construction of models and systems. We discuss why long-term trading are often preferred by many trend followers and what we can learn from acoustics and physics in terms of noise and signals, how to get the most diversification from highly correlated markets through system design and why you should trade with an ensemble of markets. We also discuss how complex adaptive systems evolve over time, how to understand transitions events and much more.

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Episode TimeStamps:

01:03 - An update on the Australian economy

02:50 - A global macro perspective

05:38 - Industry performance update

08:39 - A bias towards long term models?

20:28 - Emergent structures and the butterfly effect

25:08 - Something is happening at the South Pole

26:01 - Getting diversification out of highly correlated markets

39:23 - Understanding complex adaptive systems

54:05 - The stability of markets

57:17 - Applying different rules to different markets

01:00:32 - Thanks for listening

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Transcript

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0:00.0	You're about to join Neil's Kostrup Larson on a raw and honest journey into the world of systematic investing and learn about the most dependable and consistent yet often overlooked investment strategy.
0:13.0	Welcome to the Systematic Investor Series.
0:26.4	Welcome and welcome back to this week's edition of the Systematic Investor Series with Richard Brennan and I, Nils Castor Larsen,
0:29.0	where each week we take the polls of the global market
0:31.0	through the lens of a rules-based investor.
0:33.6	Rich, it is so great to have you back this week.
0:36.4	How are you doing, Down under? What's going on?
0:39.3	Very good, Neils. It's quite cold down here, but I'm getting ready after this podcast to head
0:45.2	off down to the farm to do some control burning because in winter down here, this is the opportunity
0:50.9	to do some control burning to stop those big fires coming in the
0:55.7	summer season. So I'm going to be Smoky Joe for the next week. That sounds interesting.
1:03.3	You know, it's funny. Obviously, we had the US unemployment numbers yesterday and we hear a lot
1:09.8	about the US economy in general.
1:12.6	But I don't have much of a feel for the Australian economy.
1:16.1	I mean, how are things down, how does it feel from where you are?
1:20.2	We tend to be a mini US, you know, a mini me, a mini US.
1:25.3	But, you know, what's happened over here? It's quite interesting.
1:29.6	Our property markets are booming, and we've got a rental crisis over here where rents are
1:36.0	skyrocketing on our property prices. The Reserve Bank yesterday decided to just put
1:43.5	interest rates on hold for a moment. They believe that they've
1:46.8	had a sequence of very small sort of uplifts over the course of time and quite a large number
1:52.3	of them. And obviously people in Australia can't remember back to the 1980s where we had
	...

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