SI127: Bitcoin's rise to $50,000 & new Ethereum futures ft. Moritz Seibert
Top Traders Unplugged
Niels Kaastrup-Larsen
4.8 • 670 Ratings
🗓️ 15 February 2021
⏱️ 65 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Today, we discuss Bitcoin’s rise to $50,000 and how to judge its future role in society, Moritz’s incredible start to the year without changing any part of his trading system, CME’s introduction of Ethereum futures, The Big Short’s Michael Burry calling a top in Tesla, India’s proposed Bitcoin ban, and how a fascinating study, using over 1 million investment combinations, showed that a 30% allocation to Trend Following increased risk-adjusted-returns on every single occasion.
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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE
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Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 – Intro
01:16 – Macro recap from Niels
04:57 – Weekly review of performance
41:32 – Q1; Kevin: In a continuous Trend Following strategy with no stops, is there anyway to minimise the whipsaw action during a trend change?
47:10 – Q2; Simon: How do you measure the business risks that aren’t related to market performance?
49:59 – Q3; Danny: What are your thoughts on using an overall portfolio-based stop-loss
55:14 – Q4; Tsatios: To what extent is hedge fund performance a result of skills in accounting & tax laws, on top of performance in the markets?
01:00:56 – Benchmark performance update
01:21:21 – Recommended listening or reading this week: Macro Voices Podcast ft Jim Bianco &
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | You're about to join Jerry Parker, Maritz Siebert, and Neil's Kostrup Larson on their raw and honest journey into the world of systematic investing and learn about the most dependable and consistent yet often overlooked investment strategy. |
| 0:15.1 | Welcome to the Systematic Investor podcast series. |
| 0:21.9 | Welcome or welcome back to this week's edition of the Systematic Investor series |
| 0:25.4 | with Moritz Siebert and I, Neil's Castle-Larsen, where each week we take the pulse of the |
| 0:29.3 | global markets through the lens of a rules-based investor. |
| 0:33.0 | If you're new to the show, let me start by saying welcome. |
| 0:36.4 | With the hope that today's episode will trigger your curiosity and hunger for learning, |
| 0:40.9 | enough to check out the back catalog and listen to some of the past episodes that you may have missed, |
| 0:45.9 | like last week's episode with Robert Carver, which was a really fun conversation |
| 0:50.0 | and where we also shared how we got into trend following in the first place. |
| 0:54.3 | Moritz, it's great to see you this week. |
| 0:56.3 | Great to be back with you, how things where you are. |
| 0:58.7 | Great to see you. |
| 0:59.9 | Good to be back. |
| 1:01.2 | Doing really great. |
| 1:02.2 | We've had fantastic weather here in the mountains. |
| 1:04.6 | Sunshine actually managed to get a little bit sunburn, believe it or not, in early February or mid-February, |
| 1:09.5 | two hours of cross-country skiing |
| 1:11.6 | over lunch today. So doing really fine. Life's good. Yeah, sounds like it. Now, this week's |
| 1:18.8 | market wrap will be a little bit longer, and I want to address just some of the things that's |
| 1:23.0 | happening in the commodity markets. And this week we saw that the rise of the commodity prices that started last summer |
| 1:29.3 | continued. |
... |
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