Should You Be Invested 100% Stocks Before and During Retirement? A Recent Study Says Yes
Money For the Rest of Us
J. David Stein
4.5 • 1.4K Ratings
🗓️ 3 January 2024
⏱️ 29 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
The pros and cons of investing your retirement assets 100% in equity, including half in international stocks. Why the 4% spending rule is too aggressive.
- Why historical asset class return studies that use only U.S. data are biased
- How researchers build a broader database to study retirement outcomes and spending rates
- How a 100% stock portfolio performed compared to balanced portfolios and target date funds
- Why investors should have half their assets in international stocks
- Why a 4% spending rule is too high, and what is the alternative
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Show Notes
Related Episodes
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Money for the rest of us. This is a personal finance show on money, how it works, how to invest it, and how to live without worrying about it. |
| 0:10.0 | I'm your host David Stein. Today is episode 460. It's titled, |
| 0:14.4 | Should you be 100% invested in stocks before and during retirement? |
| 0:20.5 | A recent study says yes. The listener recently sent me this paper. He said he was fascinated by it and its implications. |
| 0:30.0 | The paper is titled Beyond the Status Quo, A Critical Assessment Advice. |
| 0:37.0 | It's by three co-authors, Enarcholova, Cedarburg, and Odorti. They say they challenge two central tenets of life cycle investing. |
| 0:47.0 | One, investors should diversify across stocks and bonds. They argue it should be 100% stocks. The second is the young |
| 0:56.1 | should hold more stocks than old. They argue that retirees should still be |
| 1:01.5 | 100% invested in stocks. |
| 1:05.0 | They write an even mix of 50% domestic stocks |
| 1:09.0 | and 50% international stocks held throughout one's lifetime vastly outperforms age-based |
| 1:17.2 | stock-based strategies in building wealth, supporting retirement consumption, |
| 1:21.8 | preserving capital, and generating bequest. |
| 1:25.0 | That's some pretty startling conclusions. |
| 1:29.0 | We'll take a look at this paper as well as a second paper by the same authors that looks |
| 1:36.1 | at the spending rate to see if this is something that we should actually do. |
| 1:42.1 | Can we do it? We have the stomach to be a |
| 1:44.5 | 100% in stock despite the big drawdowns that can be seen. The authors in the |
| 1:49.6 | paper point out that Americans contribute about 5% of their total employee compensation |
| 1:55.4 | to define contribution plans. That's a 586 billion dollars in just 2020. |
| 2:01.5 | Big question they have is how should they invest those |
| 2:04.9 | savings and the authors share the the consensus wisdom from investing |
... |
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