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Good morning Playbookers. I'm Kara Tabor. It's Monday.

And this year's election results may look a little wavy.

This is your Politico Playbook Daily Briefing.

There's a lot on the agenda this week.

Right now, the funeral Queen Elizabeth II is underway.

Later today, the Clinton Global Initiative kicks off in New York City. On Tuesday,

the UN General Assembly opens its first day of high-level debates. On Wednesday, President

Joe Biden speaks at the UN General Assembly, and the Atlantic Festival opens in D.C.

And on Thursday, autumn begins, which is the best season of the year and how could you think otherwise?

Is 2022 a waves election?

Evidence that the election will likely be closer than originally thought continues to mount,

as two new polls give a sense of the contours of the race.

First, there's the Mbezi poll, which paints a decidedly mixed portrait.

Seven weeks out, voters are evenly split, at 46% in their preference

for which parties should control Congress next year. Biden's approval rating has risen to its

highest in 11 months, while Donald Trump's favorability has dropped. 61% opposed the Supreme Court's

Dobbs decision. 63% said their income is falling behind the cost of living,

and threats to democracy ranked as the issue most important to voters. For our money, the most

interesting overall takeaway came from the Democratic and Republican pollsters, who jointly conducted

the survey for NBC. According to Democrat Jeff Horwitt of

Hart Research Associates, instead of being a wave election, 2022 may be a waves election,

...