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Ballots have already started to go out all across the country.

I'm Ryan Graham.

Welcome back to Deconstructed.

I've spent years covering midterm elections,

but this one is shaping up to be one of the most difficult to predict.

My first cycle as a reporter was 2006,

and it was clear for months ahead of time

that Democrats were going to have an extremely good year.

The only question was how good?

The same was true in 2008, and then the reverse was true for Republicans in 2010.

Now 2014 was an ugly year for Democrats.

The economic recovery was slow because the stimulus back in 2009 had been way too skimpy,

and it was followed by a bunch of deficit deals with Mitch McConnell that slowed it further.

Then there was ISIS sweeping across Syria and Iraq and Ebola showing up in Texas.

...