4.4 • 677 Ratings
🗓️ 7 July 2025
⏱️ 64 minutes
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On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey welcome their colleague Alan Gula back to the show. Alan is an editor and member of the Investment Committee for The Total Portfolio and Stansberry's Forever Portfolio, as well as a senior analyst for flagship newsletter Stansberry's Investment Advisory.
Alan kicks off the show by analyzing a chart of the S&P 500 Index since 1957. He notes that the index is running 35% above its long-term trend, which is high but not a historic extreme. Focusing on just the past 15 years, Alan discusses the current secular bull market and whether artificial intelligence ("AI") could usher in a dot-com-style boom. He also goes in depth on The Total Portfolio's investment philosophy, what kinds of assets are in the portfolio, how the portfolio has outperformed this year, and the difficulty with being truly diversified. (0:40)
Next, Alan talks about managed futures and why their negative correlation with the S&P 500 makes them "the ultimate portfolio diversifier." As he explains, almost all investment advisers simply follow trends nowadays, so The Total Portfolio is one of the only places you can find truly diversified recommendations that'll protect you in any outcome. He then shares why he believes the traditional 40% allocation to bonds is dead, recommends two better ways to invest in this space, and explores where we are in the current bull market. (18:44)
Finally, Alan advises bearish listeners to keep looking for opportunities. He says you can't predict the future, but you can set up win-win scenarios. This leads to a conversation about real estate investment trusts, sector correlations, strategies for picking stocks, and both the pros and cons of AI replacing human jobs. (34:26)
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0:00.0 | Hello and welcome for the Stansbury Investor Hour. I'm Dan Ferris. I'm the editor of Extreme Value and the Ferris Report, both published by Stansberry Research. |
0:09.0 | And I'm Corey McLaughlin, editor of the Stansberry Daily Digest. Today we talk with our colleague, |
0:15.0 | Research Senior Analyst, Alan Gula. Alan is our colleague and friend, great guy, very, very smart. |
0:22.4 | We're lucky to have him with us. |
0:24.4 | So rather than waste any more time talking about him, let's talk to him. |
0:28.8 | So let's do it. |
0:29.7 | Let's talk with Alan Gula. |
0:31.1 | Let's do it right now. |
0:41.7 | Alan, welcome back to the show. |
0:43.0 | Pleasure to see you, as always. |
0:45.6 | Thanks for having me. |
0:58.5 | So for our listeners' sake, overwhelmingly, we invite guests on the show and we say 5,4, 3, and we just talk and every now and then on a rare occasion we exchange an email or two and they want us to prepare like that's a thing |
1:07.1 | and so so all and i and cor Corey and I exchanged some emails and Alan definitely |
1:14.4 | has something on his mind here. And over, you know, we, we specialize on this show in letting |
1:21.0 | people talk and tell us their ideas and make them crystal clear. It's less about what |
1:26.3 | Corey and I think and more about what our |
1:27.8 | guest thinks. So, Alan, that said, you do have some very specific things on your mind and you've |
1:37.1 | provided us with charts, which is another thing that hardly ever happens. And you're concerned |
1:43.9 | about the long-term trend or you're interested in talking about the |
1:47.1 | long-term trend of the S&P 500 and the boom in capital spending among big tech companies, the |
1:55.5 | secular bull market. So I'm curious to hear what you have to say about all this. |
2:02.3 | So let's let us have it, man. |
... |
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