Second-Half Rebound Hitters, the 'Pie Slice' Rule & the Marlins' Offensive Woes
Rates & Barrels: A show about Baseball
The Athletic
4.7 • 875 Ratings
🗓️ 22 July 2022
⏱️ 58 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Eno and DVR discuss several hitters with the potential to rebound in the second half -- with the emphasis on players whose value has fallen since the start of the season -- the potential impact of the "Pie Slice" Rule on current big leaguers, and the Marlins' offensive slide with Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Jon Berti on the IL.
Rundown
-- DVR Makes Another Spreadsheet
-- Another Drop on the Joey Votto 2022 Rollercoaster
-- Biggest Difference: ROS Projection v. Earn Value So Far
-- Josh Smith: Deep Leagues Only?
-- Vinnie Pasquantino v. Nolan Gorman, Long Term?
-- Nick Castellanos, Rebound Coming?
-- Seiya Suzuki is Healthy Again
-- The 'Pie Slice' Rule
-- Who Would Benefit From This Change?
-- Adjustments Coming in Miami?
-- Four-Man Outfields/Outfield Shifts
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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Related Reading: Jayson Stark on The "Pie Slice" Rule: https://theathletic.com/3417955
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Rates and barrels, it's Friday, July 22nd. You can't stop us from doing two shows a week, airlines, |
| 0:22.6 | with your flight cancellations, wrecking everyone's plans. We're going to power right through. |
| 0:27.3 | Two episodes, back-to-back days. On this episode, we're focusing a lot on hitters for the second |
| 0:32.1 | half, talking about some possible pickups, also some players you could be trading for, really |
| 0:36.8 | searching for players who could be bouncing back from disappointing first halves. |
| 0:42.0 | And we're using projections to do that. |
| 0:43.9 | Plus, Eno dug into the pie slice rule looking for some players that might benefit from that. |
| 0:49.9 | Always fun to talk about pie and love the name of the rule, love the spirit of the rule, hope it's something that we actually see sooner rather than later at higher levels, |
| 0:58.4 | currently being experimented with in the Florida State League. |
| 1:01.7 | And if we have time, we'll talk about the Marlins and some of the woes they're going through |
| 1:06.3 | offensively, which Don Mattingly seems to be attributing to a lineup full of players that are mostly the same. |
| 1:12.4 | And I don't think he's necessarily wrong about that, especially with Jazz Chishol on the IL and John Bertie on the aisle right now. |
| 1:18.9 | But let's start with the topic at the top, the bats for the second half. |
| 1:23.7 | Eno, I put together a giant spreadsheet. |
| 1:26.4 | I took the rest of season projections from the BatX. |
| 1:29.7 | I took the year-to-date earned value so far in the Fangraph's auction calculator for a 12-teen |
| 1:35.1 | league. |
| 1:36.1 | And I calculated a number that looks at the difference between those two, |
| 1:40.3 | looking for players who are projected to be a lot better than they were in the first |
| 1:45.4 | half and change of the season, which not surprisingly the difference, the positive difference, |
| 1:51.5 | guys, the players who are going to be better going forward than they've been so far are a mix of |
| 1:56.0 | prospects and injured players, right, guys that either didn't play in the first half |
... |
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