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More or Less

Scottish referendum polls

More or Less

BBC

News Commentary, Science, Mathematics, News

4.63.7K Ratings

🗓️ 12 September 2014

⏱️ 29 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Tim Harford talks to pollsters about how they are trying to gauge the political mood in Scotland, and he analyses Nigel Farage's claim that more than half of Scotland is on benefits. Plus: celebrating Countdown, the longest-running TV quiz show; quantifying malnutrition in the UK; and does the ‘Curse of Strictly Come Dancing’ really exist?

Transcript

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0:00.0

Just before this BBC podcast gets underway, here's something you may not know.

0:04.7

My name's Linda Davies and I Commission Podcasts for BBC Sounds.

0:08.5

As you'd expect, at the BBC we make podcasts of the very highest quality featuring the most knowledgeable experts and genuinely engaging voices.

0:18.0

What you may not know is that the BBC makes podcasts about all kinds of things like pop stars,

0:24.6

poltergeist, cricket, and conspiracy theories and that's just a few examples.

0:29.7

If you'd like to discover something a little bit unexpected, find your next podcast over at BBC Sounds.

0:36.2

Thank you for downloading more or less from BBC Radio 4. Here's Tim Harford.

0:41.6

Hello and welcome to more or less, the programme which reveals the secrets behind the

0:46.9

numbers in the news and in life.

0:49.8

This week, the Triumph of Countdown and the Curse of Strictly Come Dancing.

0:57.0

But first, we bring this programme to you amid a flurry of Scottish referendum poll results.

1:04.0

Yes Leeds in Scots Poll Shock.

1:07.0

The Sunday Times headline last weekend,

1:09.0

as it published an internet opinion poll conducted by UGov,

1:12.0

which showed the Yes campaign was ahead for the first time,

1:16.2

by 51% to 49% when the don't knows were excluded.

1:20.8

There was pandemonium in the media, a sharp reaction on financial markets and the leaders of the three big Westminster parties

1:28.0

each of which supports the continuation of the United Kingdom, cancelled Prime Minister's questions and dashed to Scotland in an attempt

1:35.3

to shore up the Better Together campaign.

1:37.8

But then three days later...

1:38.8

Hello Ruth.

1:39.8

Hi Tim.

...

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