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The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 14

The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

Peter Schiff

Business News, Business, Investing, News, Politics

4.65.9K Ratings

🗓️ 6 November 2014

⏱️ 30 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Episode 14 The U.S Recovery is as Real as Ireland is a Part of the U.K.
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Transcript

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0:00.0

Well, it's Tuesday, but we've already got a lot of economic data out this week.

0:14.8

And we've got a lot more data coming out later in a week.

0:17.6

It's going to culminate on Friday with the jobs report, the unemployment level and the

0:22.5

number of jobs created.

0:23.7

So we'll discuss that on Friday.

0:25.8

But for now, the news that we've got has mostly been negative and we'll end up subtracting

0:32.7

from the third quarter initial estimate for GDP.

0:38.6

We got numbers on construction spending on Monday and the PMI manufacturing index, both

0:45.0

coming in below estimates.

0:46.9

The construction numbers should impact again, the second quarter.

0:51.5

But perhaps the biggest impact on the second quarter will be the much bigger than expected

0:55.5

increase in the trade deficit for the month of August.

1:00.5

The government was expecting a trade deficit, I think of about 40 billion.

1:04.3

Instead, we got 43 billion.

1:07.1

That's a 7.6% increase from the prior month.

1:11.1

In fact, we saw a reduction, an overall reduction in imports and exports.

1:17.1

So we're exporting less, but we still have a bigger trade deficit, even with the big

1:22.6

drop in oil prices, which helps to trade deficit because it means it's less expensive

1:28.4

to import oil.

1:30.0

The problem is excluding petroleum, we had the worst trade deficit ever.

1:34.4

Actually, I think it was a tie for the worst trade deficit ever.

1:38.0

Maybe we'll break the tie next month.

...

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