Schaeffer's Market Mashup: Post-Election Vol with Cboe's Henry Schwartz
Schaeffer’s Market Mashup
Schaeffer’s Investment Research
5.0 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 9 February 2021
⏱️ 27 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | And the Welcome back to the Schaefer's market mashup. Please welcome back. |
| 0:19.2 | Five-10. Henry Schwartz, Cebo Global Markets, |
| 0:23.8 | is head of product intelligence. |
| 0:26.3 | Henry, you hanging in there, buddy? |
| 0:28.0 | Oh, I am, Patrick, thank you. |
| 0:31.0 | It's been a heck of a heck of a year and it's only February. |
| 0:35.8 | Yeah, it's, did you ever think when we did a pre-election volatility episode that we'd be talking about GameStop two months later. |
| 0:45.0 | No, I thought I thought whatever happened you know that we'd get over the hump of |
| 0:50.0 | the election and things would just settle down but nothing settled down I think |
| 0:54.4 | more has gotten kind of stirred up in the you know the first month of the year and |
| 0:58.9 | it's it's great but I'm exhausted. |
| 1:02.1 | Yeah you're you're telling me. |
| 1:05.0 | Well, in general, stocks tend to post gains during periods of transition to a new US administration. |
| 1:13.0 | Within these transition periods between incoming and outgoing US |
| 1:18.0 | presence, stock market performance tends to become more dependent |
| 1:22.0 | on the economic cycle rather than the actual election results. |
| 1:27.0 | But I want to at least start with some context first. |
| 1:31.0 | How have markets fared following previous presidential elections in historically how |
| 1:36.9 | stocks performed in a new president's first few months on the job? |
| 1:42.3 | Sure, so I've done up some data because it's really interesting, you know, a lot of us kind of coming |
| 1:48.8 | from the pure options side are, you know, it's ingrained in your training that there's a |
| 1:54.3 | normal distribution and there's a random walk which means that you know there shouldn't |
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