SB Special: The Players Who Will Decide the Fantasy Semis
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4.8 ⢠770 Ratings
šļø 21 December 2024
ā±ļø 107 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | All of the week 16 matchups that will decide your fantasy semifinals. |
| 0:18.7 | That's what we're talking about today on Stealing Bananas and Ben Gretsch. You can find the Stealing Signals newsletter, Ben Gresh.com. With me, as always, is Sean Siegel. You can find all of his great work over at Rodeviz. We typically don't do these types of shows. It's something that we decided would be fun this week. For of you still listening in in your semifinals, |
| 0:39.4 | a lot of start sit decisions, |
| 0:41.4 | a lot of elements to consider. |
| 0:45.0 | Sean and I, |
| 0:45.5 | the last few weeks, |
| 0:46.2 | have been having pretty long conversations before Sunday as we sort of figure out how we want to set our lineups. |
| 0:53.8 | One of the things that I talk about over at Stealing Sigma's a little bit when it comes to start sits is it's kind of, it's tough for me to give, you know, as many subscribers just want the advice, the quick one to one advice, because you really do want to be able to analyze everything when it comes to these situations. You got to think about what the market's saying. You know, we were just talking before I have some picks that I'm going to be doing for stealing lines, my betting picks. And so I've been looking at these games from a point spread and over under perspective, which gives you an idea of what a market expects from these games. And a lot of people will say, well, I don't, I don't care about that. Well, I mean, if you're feeling it's really wrong, you can always go bet in those markets and make a lot of money there. I mean, there's a way to play that. Not everyone, you know, can legally bet, but my point is it's not particularly easy to consistently beat those markets. You do have to have some respect for those markets, I think. And then there is the element that Sean, if we just trusted the market entirely every single time, then we would |
| 1:28.1 | never actually be betting anything or playing any hunches or any of those types of things. Sometimes you do have the idea. So, you know, I go through. I look at it from that perspective and I have all these things that are flagged for this week that are maybe going to be my official bets over at Stealing Alliance. I think this little too high i think this is a little too low it's interesting it's fun to talk through you have the weather element that is something to factor in it's going to factor into the lines as well but it's also just something to think about in terms of how the game's going to play out for fantasy certainly you have the injury element you were just checking the injury reports and then you have the the matchup |
| 2:18.8 | elements the micro stuff the player level which you're always very very dug into i'm a little bit |
| 2:23.9 | less in terms of the start sit stuff because of you know all the the ways that i go through things |
| 2:29.9 | with stealing signals early in the week it's more backward looking as more long terms of, you know, team building over the course of a season. And then, you know, the little micro matchup stuff is a little bit less outside my purview or a little bit more outside my purview. So when we have our conversations, you always have some really great notes on that stuff that I wanted to pick your brain on and get, you know, the listeners, an opportunity to hear some of some of those thoughts and some of those key stats. |
| 2:57.4 | Like we were just talking about you were just sharing before we hit hit live and wanted to get as much of this recorded before we had a whole conversation before the show like we like to. |
| 3:06.5 | You were just talking about |
| 3:07.5 | Minnesota and Seattle they're playing in Seattle it's going to be a little bit rainy I was talking |
| 3:11.7 | about the over under is actually a little bit low for what I would expect at 42.5 the Vikings are |
| 3:17.1 | slight road favorites and then you were looking up in the rhodoviz team splits app their home road |
| 3:23.9 | splits the Vikings I like to talk about app their home road splits the vikings i i like to talk about |
| 3:26.0 | the lions home road splits we had mentioned them as well jared golf on the road in chicago this week |
| 3:30.8 | we'll get into all of this stuff the specifics of it but you were talking about the vikings being a |
| 3:36.6 | little bit home road split as well a little bit of a difference in terms of when they're in the dome and when they're outdoors and talk about there's going to be some rain. There's going to be some weather. Seahawks defense is playing better. And so you start thinking through these little micro things and you're like, man, I guess there's maybe a little bit of a floor from Minnesota's past game. We already are a little skeptical of Sam Donald. I mean, what? That's not the only way this can play out. |
| 3:56.6 | Obviously Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, great players, all those things. But my point is, there are so many layers to these things when you come up with your starts since if you really want to make a really informed decision, you do need to think through all of it. It's why I often say that looking into the projections, looking at a rhodoviz, GLSP projections, these things that factor in all the elements, |
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