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Wall Street Breakfast

Santa Claus Rally time

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, News, Business, Investing

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 21 December 2025

⏱️ 4 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

After two down years in a row, history suggests Santa will return this week. (0:17) Q3 GDP is due. (1:15) Bill Ackman wants to help SpaceX go public. (1:36)

Show Notes
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Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street brunch, our Sunday look ahead to this week's

0:09.9

market-moving events, along with the weekend's top news and analysis.

0:13.9

Hello, today is Sunday December 21st, and I'm your host, Kim Kahn.

0:17.6

It's the most wonderful time of the year for stock market bulls.

0:22.1

Here comes Santa Claus right down Maiden Lane, then left on NASA, heading straight for Wall and Broad. The Santa Claus

0:26.7

rally, the last five trading days of December and the first two of January, is set to kick off on

0:31.8

Wednesday, with the markets closing early for Christmas Eve, and shut on Thursday for Christmas.

0:36.7

Historically, the S&P 500 has been a higher 77% of the time during the Santa Rally, according

0:42.4

to Subu trade.

0:43.8

They note that the last two years were negative, but there's never been a third straight

0:47.5

down Santa Rally time.

0:49.4

Alexander Giuliano, CIO at Resident Wealth Partners, says despite choppy trading over the past six weeks,

0:55.6

the backdrop remains strong, and the recent valuation pullback is creating opportunities for

1:00.3

underinvested bulls. So far in December, the S&P is slightly lower, the NASDAQ is down about

1:05.5

0.25%, and the Dow is up 1%. For the year, the SMT is up 16%, the NASDAQ 21% and the Dow is up 1%. For the year, the SMP is up 16%,

1:11.3

the NASDAQ 21%, and the Dow 13%.

1:14.8

The earnings calendar is light, but traders won't be bored.

1:18.4

The key data point is the Q3 GDP report on Tuesday.

1:22.2

Wells Fargo says, while the headline number may be stale, the details matter.

1:26.1

They're expecting 3.6% annualized growth,

1:28.9

boosted by a pullback in imports. Consumers rebounded strongly in the second half of the year,

1:33.7

though construction remains a drag. In the news this weekend, Bill Ackman floated a novel idea

...

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