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The a16z Show

Samo Burja on Growth, Energy, and AI

The a16z Show

a16z

Science, Entrepreneurship, Culture, Business, Innovation, Technology, Disruption, Software Eating The World

4.21.2K Ratings

🗓️ 12 June 2026

⏱️ 28 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Theo Jaffee speaks with Samo Burja, founder of Bismarck Analysis, about AI, industrial capacity, economic growth, and the institutions that shape civilization. The conversation explores how AI’s demand for compute, energy, and infrastructure could trigger a new wave of industrial expansion, benefiting sectors far beyond technology. Burja argues that AI is not just a software story but a demand shock that will ripple through energy, manufacturing, construction, and global supply chains. They also discuss China and the United States, demographic decline, fertility, state capacity, welfare systems, and the political economy of automation. Along the way, Burja shares his views on functional institutions, economic growth, and why societies that can effectively organize people and resources may have an enduring advantage in the AI era.

Transcript

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0:00.0

So I actually think a big macro story that we've been exploring at Bismarck analysis

0:10.0

and the Bismarck Brief is that the demands of AI are so massive that for the first time in decades,

0:16.0

the economies of scale necessary to supply them require industrial revolutions in everything.

0:23.6

So this demand shock, and we could almost call it a demand shock, arriving from the future,

0:29.6

and AI, is going through silicon, but eventually it's going to reach things like mirrors

0:34.6

and steel and natural gas.

0:36.6

And once you're doing those things,

0:38.3

oh buddy, you've reignited the Industrial Revolution.

0:41.3

Most conversations about AI focus on software.

0:44.3

Samo Burya thinks the bigger story may be physical.

0:48.3

As AI systems become more powerful,

0:50.3

the demand for energy, compute, data centers,

0:53.3

chips, and industrial capacity is growing at an extraordinary pace.

0:58.0

That demand could reshape not just the technology sector, but manufacturing, construction, energy production, and the broader global economy.

1:07.0

Theo Jaffe speaks with Samo Burya about AI industrial revolutions, demographic decline,

1:13.9

state capacity, and the institutions that determine whether societies can successfully adapt

1:18.7

to technological change.

1:22.5

We're live with Samo Burya. Welcome back to the situation room.

1:28.2

Happy to be here.

1:34.3

So we just finished our last segment talking with Ray Ma from China Buzz about,

1:38.6

was it, I don't want to get that wrong. It was TechBuzz China. That's what it was.

1:54.5

And Sophia made the point that the U.S. has these sort of like grand apocalyptic, eschatological narratives around AI because we're a Christian society and China doesn't because they're secular society.

...

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